Hercules Capital (Germany) Price Prediction

19H Stock  EUR 18.07  0.02  0.11%   
The value of RSI of Hercules Capital's stock price is roughly 65. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 21st of December 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hercules, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

65

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hercules Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hercules Capital and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hercules Capital's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hercules Capital, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Hercules Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hercules Capital from the perspective of Hercules Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hercules Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hercules because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Hercules Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 18.07  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Hercules Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Hercules Stock please use our How to Invest in Hercules Capital guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.7417.9519.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.7217.9419.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.6918.1518.62
Details

Hercules Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hercules Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hercules Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hercules Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Hercules Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hercules Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hercules Capital's historical news coverage. Hercules Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.86 and 19.28, respectively. We have considered Hercules Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
18.07
18.07
After-hype Price
19.28
Upside
Hercules Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hercules Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hercules Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hercules Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hercules Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hercules Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
1.21
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.07
18.07
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Hercules Capital Hype Timeline

Hercules Capital is presently traded for 18.07on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Hercules is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hercules Capital is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.07. The company last dividend was issued on the 8th of August 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Hercules Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Hercules Stock please use our How to Invest in Hercules Capital guide.

Hercules Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hercules Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hercules Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Hercules Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hercules Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Hercules Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hercules price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hercules using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hercules charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Hercules Capital Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Hercules Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hercules Capital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hercules Capital based on analysis of Hercules Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hercules Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hercules Capital's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Hercules Capital

The number of cover stories for Hercules Capital depends on current market conditions and Hercules Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hercules Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hercules Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Hercules Capital Short Properties

Hercules Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hercules Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hercules Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hercules Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hercules Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding133 M
Dividend Yield0.0954

Complementary Tools for Hercules Stock analysis

When running Hercules Capital's price analysis, check to measure Hercules Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hercules Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Hercules Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hercules Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hercules Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hercules Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets