North Chemical (China) Price Prediction
| 002246 Stock | 12.38 0.18 1.48% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.161 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.24) |
Using North Chemical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of North Chemical Industries from the perspective of North Chemical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in North Chemical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying North because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
North Chemical after-hype prediction price | CNY 12.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
North |
North Chemical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of North Chemical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in North Chemical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of North Chemical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
North Chemical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting North Chemical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on North Chemical's historical news coverage. North Chemical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.51 and 16.15, respectively. We have considered North Chemical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
North Chemical is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of North Chemical Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
North Chemical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as North Chemical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading North Chemical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with North Chemical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.55 | 3.82 | 0.05 | 0.15 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.38 | 12.33 | 0.40 |
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North Chemical Hype Timeline
North Chemical Industries is presently traded for 12.38on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.15. North is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.33. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.4%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.55%. The volatility of related hype on North Chemical is about 1379.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.23. About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of North Chemical was presently reported as 5.11. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. North Chemical Industries last dividend was issued on the 9th of July 2024. The entity had 15:10 split on the 6th of June 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out North Chemical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.North Chemical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to North Chemical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict North Chemical's future price movements. Getting to know how North Chemical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how North Chemical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601899 | Zijin Mining Group | 0.21 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.35 | (3.39) | 10.10 | |
| 600309 | Wanhua Chemical Group | (2.40) | 2 per month | 2.22 | (0.01) | 3.92 | (3.47) | 16.38 | |
| 600019 | Baoshan Iron Steel | (0.17) | 2 per month | 2.05 | 0.01 | 4.80 | (3.10) | 17.37 | |
| 600547 | Shandong Gold Mining | (0.35) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.59 | (3.29) | 12.15 | |
| 002493 | Rongsheng Petrochemical Co | (0.08) | 2 per month | 1.87 | 0.03 | 4.12 | (2.54) | 15.52 | |
| 600010 | Inner Mongolia BaoTou | 0.03 | 2 per month | 2.31 | 0.11 | 7.46 | (4.00) | 19.48 | |
| 002460 | Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium | (0.04) | 7 per month | 3.36 | 0.14 | 9.99 | (6.14) | 20.00 | |
| 603260 | Hoshine Silicon Ind | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.42 | 0.10 | 4.90 | (3.79) | 17.89 | |
| 600160 | Zhejiang Juhua Co | 0.21 | 1 per month | 2.48 | 0.09 | 6.09 | (5.00) | 15.23 | |
| 000807 | Yunnan Aluminium Co | (0.18) | 1 per month | 2.24 | 0.06 | 4.73 | (3.27) | 15.53 |
North Chemical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine North price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for North using various technical indicators. When you analyze North charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About North Chemical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of North Chemical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as North Chemical Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of North Chemical based on analysis of North Chemical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to North Chemical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to North Chemical's related companies.
Story Coverage note for North Chemical
The number of cover stories for North Chemical depends on current market conditions and North Chemical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that North Chemical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about North Chemical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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North Chemical Short Properties
North Chemical's future price predictability will typically decrease when North Chemical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of North Chemical Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential North Chemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. North Chemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 549 M |
Complementary Tools for North Stock analysis
When running North Chemical's price analysis, check to measure North Chemical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy North Chemical is operating at the current time. Most of North Chemical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of North Chemical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move North Chemical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of North Chemical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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