Haima Automobile (China) Price Prediction

000572 Stock   4.09  0.13  3.08%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Haima Automobile's share price is at 50. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Haima Automobile, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Haima Automobile's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Haima Automobile Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Haima Automobile's stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
5.69
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.923
Using Haima Automobile hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Haima Automobile Group from the perspective of Haima Automobile response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Haima Automobile to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Haima because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Haima Automobile after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 4.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Haima Automobile Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.243.505.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.874.136.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.024.164.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Haima Automobile. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Haima Automobile's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Haima Automobile's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Haima Automobile.

Haima Automobile After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Haima Automobile at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Haima Automobile or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Haima Automobile, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Haima Automobile Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Haima Automobile's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Haima Automobile's historical news coverage. Haima Automobile's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.83 and 6.35, respectively. We have considered Haima Automobile's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.09
4.09
After-hype Price
6.35
Upside
Haima Automobile is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Haima Automobile is based on 3 months time horizon.

Haima Automobile Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Haima Automobile is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Haima Automobile backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Haima Automobile, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
2.26
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.09
4.09
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Haima Automobile Hype Timeline

Haima Automobile is presently traded for 4.09on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Haima is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Haima Automobile is about 308.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.10. About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Haima Automobile was presently reported as 1.19. The company last dividend was issued on the 27th of June 2016. Haima Automobile had 1.6:1 split on the 3rd of September 2007. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Haima Automobile Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Haima Automobile Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Haima Automobile's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Haima Automobile's future price movements. Getting to know how Haima Automobile's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Haima Automobile may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
002152GRG Banking Equipment 0.21 3 per month 2.45  0.04  4.31 (3.80) 15.69 
300343Lecron Energy Saving 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.93 (4.05) 11.86 
688008Montage Technology Co 1.34 4 per month 2.93  0.06  4.73 (4.62) 17.58 
688151Hubei Huaqiang High Tech(0.08)1 per month 2.27  0.04  4.92 (3.72) 26.15 
002065Dhc Software Co 0.12 3 per month 3.40  0.13  9.96 (5.43) 20.06 
301190Jiujiang Shanshui Technology 0.53 1 per month 1.88  0.11  4.73 (3.31) 12.83 
603296HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY LTD 4.44 4 per month 2.85  0.12  7.71 (4.60) 17.68 
688520Sinocelltech Group(0.70)1 per month 0.00  0.01  3.11 (2.62) 9.22 

Haima Automobile Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Haima price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Haima using various technical indicators. When you analyze Haima charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Haima Automobile Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Haima Automobile stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Haima Automobile Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Haima Automobile based on analysis of Haima Automobile hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Haima Automobile's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Haima Automobile's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Haima Automobile

The number of cover stories for Haima Automobile depends on current market conditions and Haima Automobile's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Haima Automobile is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Haima Automobile's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Haima Automobile Short Properties

Haima Automobile's future price predictability will typically decrease when Haima Automobile's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Haima Automobile Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Haima Automobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Haima Automobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.6 B

Complementary Tools for Haima Stock analysis

When running Haima Automobile's price analysis, check to measure Haima Automobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Haima Automobile is operating at the current time. Most of Haima Automobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Haima Automobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Haima Automobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Haima Automobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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