Luzhou Lao (China) Price Prediction
| 000568 Stock | 121.58 1.68 1.40% |
Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.025 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.5456 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.4913 | Wall Street Target Price 160.965 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 2.74 |
Using Luzhou Lao hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Luzhou Lao Jiao from the perspective of Luzhou Lao response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Luzhou Lao to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Luzhou because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Luzhou Lao after-hype prediction price | CNY 120.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Luzhou |
Luzhou Lao After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Luzhou Lao at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Luzhou Lao or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Luzhou Lao, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Luzhou Lao Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Luzhou Lao's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Luzhou Lao's historical news coverage. Luzhou Lao's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 119.07 and 122.43, respectively. We have considered Luzhou Lao's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Luzhou Lao is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Luzhou Lao Jiao is based on 3 months time horizon.
Luzhou Lao Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Luzhou Lao is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Luzhou Lao backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Luzhou Lao, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.68 | 0.85 | 0.11 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
121.58 | 120.75 | 0.71 |
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Luzhou Lao Hype Timeline
Luzhou Lao Jiao is presently traded for 121.58on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.85, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Luzhou is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 120.75 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 37.75%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.71%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Luzhou Lao is about 280.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 121.69. The company reported the revenue of 30.23 B. Net Income was 13.25 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.78 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Luzhou Lao Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Luzhou Lao Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Luzhou Lao's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Luzhou Lao's future price movements. Getting to know how Luzhou Lao's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Luzhou Lao may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 600373 | Chinese Universe Publishing | 0.1 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.25 | (2.65) | 10.04 | |
| 002899 | Impulse Qingdao Health | 2.59 | 2 per month | 3.93 | 0.09 | 9.99 | (6.87) | 20.03 | |
| 601928 | Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing | (0.08) | 2 per month | 1.42 | (0) | 2.68 | (2.39) | 10.92 | |
| 002919 | Mingchen Health Co | 1.62 | 1 per month | 3.13 | 0.08 | 5.51 | (6.16) | 20.03 | |
| 300015 | Aier Eye Hospital | 0.08 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.66 | (4.00) | 7.61 | |
| 601949 | China Publishing Media | (0.11) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.19 | (4.97) | 20.04 | |
| 600757 | Changjiang Publishing Media | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 2.79 | (2.49) | 11.47 |
Luzhou Lao Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Luzhou price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Luzhou using various technical indicators. When you analyze Luzhou charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Luzhou Lao Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Luzhou Lao stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Luzhou Lao Jiao, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Luzhou Lao based on analysis of Luzhou Lao hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Luzhou Lao's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Luzhou Lao's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Luzhou Lao
The number of cover stories for Luzhou Lao depends on current market conditions and Luzhou Lao's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Luzhou Lao is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Luzhou Lao's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Luzhou Lao Short Properties
Luzhou Lao's future price predictability will typically decrease when Luzhou Lao's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Luzhou Lao Jiao often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Luzhou Lao's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Luzhou Lao's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B |
Complementary Tools for Luzhou Stock analysis
When running Luzhou Lao's price analysis, check to measure Luzhou Lao's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Luzhou Lao is operating at the current time. Most of Luzhou Lao's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Luzhou Lao's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Luzhou Lao's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Luzhou Lao to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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