Us Government Securities Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

UGSDX Fund  USD 1.95  0.01  0.51%   
The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0141, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Us Government's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Us Government is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Us Government Securities are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Us Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio1.1700
  

Us Government Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  194.00  in Us Government Securities on September 5, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1.00  from holding Us Government Securities or generate 0.52% return on investment over 90 days. Us Government Securities is currently producing 0.0083% returns and takes up 0.1455% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than UGSDX, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Us Government is expected to generate 19.05 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 5.12 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.21 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Us Government Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
1.95
Please note that Us Government's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Us Government Securities owns a latest Real Value of $1.95 per share. The recent price of the fund is $1.95. We determine the value of Us Government Securities from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point future time, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Us Government is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of UGSDX Mutual Fund. However, Us Government's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  1.95 Real  1.95 Hype  1.95 Naive  1.95
The intrinsic value of Us Government's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Us Government's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
1.95
Real Value
2.10
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Us Government Securities helps investors to forecast how UGSDX mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Us Government more accurately as focusing exclusively on Us Government's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.951.951.96
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.801.952.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1.811.952.10
Details

Us Government Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Us Government's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Us Government Securities, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Us Government's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0568

Best PortfolioBest Equity
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Negative ReturnsUGSDX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.15
  actual daily
1
99% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.01
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.06
  actual daily
4
96% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Us Government is performing at about 4% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Us Government by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Us Government Fundamentals Growth

UGSDX Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Us Government, and Us Government fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on UGSDX Mutual Fund performance.

About Us Government Performance

Evaluating Us Government's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Us Government has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Us Government has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in United States Treasury debt securities and obligations of agencies and instrumentalities of the United States, including repurchase agreements collateralized with such securities.

Things to note about Us Government Securities performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Us Government for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Us Government Securities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Us Government may become a speculative penny stock
The fund keeps about 100.0% of its net assets in bonds
Evaluating Us Government's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Us Government's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Us Government's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Us Government's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Us Government's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Us Government's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Us Government's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Us Government's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Us Government's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Us Government's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Us Government's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in UGSDX Mutual Fund

Us Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether UGSDX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in UGSDX with respect to the benefits of owning Us Government security.
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