Guggenheim Directional Allocation Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

TVFRX Fund  USD 16.83  0.15  0.88%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.15, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Guggenheim Directional are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Guggenheim Directional is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Guggenheim Directional Allocation has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of latest weak performance, the Fund's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the fund investors.
...more
Expense Ratio Date24th of May 2023
Expense Ratio1.3000
  

Guggenheim Directional Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,895  in Guggenheim Directional Allocation on October 9, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (212.00) from holding Guggenheim Directional Allocation or give up 11.19% of portfolio value over 90 days. Guggenheim Directional Allocation is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.811% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 16% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Guggenheim, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guggenheim Directional is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.25 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.0 per unit of volatility.

Guggenheim Directional Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
16.83
Please note that Guggenheim Directional's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Guggenheim Directional retains a regular Real Value of $15.55 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $16.83. We determine the value of Guggenheim Directional from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Guggenheim Directional is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Guggenheim Mutual Fund. However, Guggenheim Directional's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  16.83 Real  15.55 Hype  16.83
The intrinsic value of Guggenheim Directional's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Guggenheim Directional's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
15.55
Real Value
17.36
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Guggenheim Directional Allocation helps investors to forecast how Guggenheim mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Guggenheim Directional more accurately as focusing exclusively on Guggenheim Directional's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.0216.8318.64
Details

Guggenheim Directional Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guggenheim Directional's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Guggenheim Directional Allocation, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Guggenheim Directional's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0959

Best PortfolioBest Equity
Good Returns
Average Returns
Small Returns
CashSmall RiskAverage RiskHigh RiskHuge Risk
Negative ReturnsTVFRX

Estimated Market Risk

 1.81
  actual daily
16
84% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.17
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.1
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Guggenheim Directional is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Guggenheim Directional by adding Guggenheim Directional to a well-diversified portfolio.

Guggenheim Directional Fundamentals Growth

Guggenheim Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guggenheim Directional, and Guggenheim Directional fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guggenheim Mutual Fund performance.

About Guggenheim Directional Performance

Evaluating Guggenheim Directional's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Guggenheim Directional has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Guggenheim Directional has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal circumstances, the fund uses a balanced approach to invest in a broad range of securities, including equity, debt, and securities issued and guaranteed by the U.S. government and federal agencies and instrumentalities. The funds asset allocation strategy diversifies equity securities and fixed-income investments. The fund employs a proprietary quantitative model to determine the exposure between equity and fixed income to participate in rising markets while attempting to preserve capital during market declines. The funds exposure will generally be at least 20 percent fixed income and up to 80 percent equity.

Things to note about Guggenheim Directional performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guggenheim Directional for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Guggenheim Directional help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Guggenheim Directional generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 110.22% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Guggenheim Directional's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Guggenheim Directional's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Guggenheim Directional's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guggenheim Directional's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Guggenheim Directional's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Guggenheim Directional's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guggenheim Directional's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guggenheim Directional's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Guggenheim Directional's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Guggenheim Directional's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Guggenheim Directional's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Guggenheim Mutual Fund

Guggenheim Directional financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guggenheim Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guggenheim with respect to the benefits of owning Guggenheim Directional security.
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance