Northeast Investors Trust Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

NTHEX Fund  USD 3.67  0.01  0.27%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0196, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Northeast Investors' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Northeast Investors is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Northeast Investors Trust are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Northeast Investors is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of February 2023
Expense Ratio2.2600
  

Northeast Investors Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  363.00  in Northeast Investors Trust on September 13, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  4.00  from holding Northeast Investors Trust or generate 1.1% return on investment over 90 days. Northeast Investors Trust is currently producing 0.0179% returns and takes up 0.3159% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 2% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Northeast, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Northeast Investors is expected to generate 5.86 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 2.32 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.14 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Northeast Investors Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
3.67
Please note that Northeast Investors' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Northeast Investors Trust secures a last-minute Real Value of $3.68 per share. The latest price of the fund is $3.67. We determine the value of Northeast Investors Trust from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Northeast Investors is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Northeast Mutual Fund. However, Northeast Investors' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  3.67 Real  3.68 Hype  3.67 Naive  3.65
The intrinsic value of Northeast Investors' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Northeast Investors' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
3.68
Real Value
4.00
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Northeast Investors Trust helps investors to forecast how Northeast mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Northeast Investors more accurately as focusing exclusively on Northeast Investors' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.633.693.75
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.353.673.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
3.343.653.97
Details

Northeast Investors Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northeast Investors' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Northeast Investors Trust, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Northeast Investors' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0566

Best PortfolioBest Equity
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Negative ReturnsNTHEX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.32
  actual daily
2
98% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.02
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.06
  actual daily
4
96% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Northeast Investors is performing at about 4% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Northeast Investors by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Northeast Investors Fundamentals Growth

Northeast Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Northeast Investors, and Northeast Investors fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Northeast Mutual Fund performance.

About Northeast Investors Performance

Evaluating Northeast Investors' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Northeast Investors has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Northeast Investors has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests primarily in marketable securities of established companies which the Trustees believe provide income and which, where consistent with the objective, may have potential for capital appreciation. The manager emphasizes high yield corporate bonds which are unrated or rated as lower than investment grade by either of the two principal rating services.

Things to note about Northeast Investors Trust performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Northeast Investors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Northeast Investors Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 7.95% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Northeast Investors' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Northeast Investors' mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Northeast Investors' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Northeast Investors' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Northeast Investors' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Northeast Investors' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Northeast Investors' management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Northeast Investors' mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Northeast Investors' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Northeast Investors' mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Northeast Investors' mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Northeast Mutual Fund

Northeast Investors financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northeast Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northeast with respect to the benefits of owning Northeast Investors security.
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