Northern California Intermediate Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

NCITX Fund  USD 9.81  0.08  0.81%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0317, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Northern California are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Northern California is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Northern California Intermediate has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Northern California is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date29th of July 2022
Expense Ratio0.4600
  

Northern California Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  999.00  in Northern California Intermediate on September 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (18.00) from holding Northern California Intermediate or give up 1.8% of portfolio value over 90 days. Northern California Intermediate is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.2279% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 2% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Northern, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Northern California is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 3.53 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.03 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Northern California Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
9.81
Please note that Northern California's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Northern California secures a last-minute Real Value of $9.49 per share. The latest price of the fund is $9.81. We determine the value of Northern California from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Northern California is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Northern Mutual Fund. However, Northern California's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.81 Real  9.49 Hype  9.81
The intrinsic value of Northern California's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Northern California's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
9.49
Real Value
10.79
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Northern California Intermediate helps investors to forecast how Northern mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Northern California more accurately as focusing exclusively on Northern California's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.589.8110.04
Details

Northern California Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northern California's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Northern California Intermediate, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Northern California's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1235

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.23
  actual daily
2
98% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.03
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.12
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Northern California is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Northern California by adding Northern California to a well-diversified portfolio.

Northern California Fundamentals Growth

Northern Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Northern California, and Northern California fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Northern Mutual Fund performance.

About Northern California Performance

Evaluating Northern California's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Northern California has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Northern California has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of the funds net assets will be invested in instruments that pay income that is exempt from California state personal income tax. Except in extraordinary circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets will be invested in debt instruments that pay interest that is exempt from regular federal income tax. The funds dollar-weighted average maturity will range between three and ten years.

Things to note about Northern California performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Northern California for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Northern California help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Northern California generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Northern California maintains about 100.0% of its assets in bonds
Evaluating Northern California's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Northern California's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Northern California's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Northern California's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Northern California's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Northern California's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Northern California's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Northern California's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Northern California's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Northern California's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Northern California's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Northern Mutual Fund

Northern California financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern California security.
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