Natural Alternatives International Stock Performance

NAII Stock  USD 3.45  0.05  1.43%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0417, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Natural Alternatives are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Natural Alternatives is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Natural Alternatives has a negative expected return of -0.32%. Please make sure to verify Natural Alternatives' kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to decide if Natural Alternatives performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Natural Alternatives International has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.45
Five Day Return
(10.71)
Year To Date Return
(18.41)
Ten Year Return
(35.19)
All Time Return
(60.00)
Last Split Factor
1:50
Last Split Date
1990-01-05
1
CALDWELL SUTTER CAPITAL, INC. Expands Stake in Natural Alternatives International Inc
02/12/2025
2
Natural Alternatives Fiscal Q2 Earnings Snapshot
02/14/2025
3
Disposition of 1375 shares by Michael Fortin of Natural Alternatives at 10.35 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/26/2025
4
Disposition of 2500 shares by Ledoux Mark A of Natural Alternatives at 15.65 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/28/2025
5
Natural Alternatives International and CarnoSyn BrandsPublish Clinical Research Demonstrating TriBsyn DeliveringExceptional Bioavailability, Increased Efficienc...
03/05/2025
6
Disposition of 5900 shares by Ledoux Mark A of Natural Alternatives at 3.835 subject to Rule 16b-3
03/07/2025
7
Acquisition by Matherly Laura Kay of 7000 shares of Natural Alternatives subject to Rule 16b-3
03/14/2025
8
Disposition of 1602 shares by Ledoux Mark A of Natural Alternatives at 15.5 subject to Rule 16b-3
03/27/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow13.6 M
  

Natural Alternatives Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  431.00  in Natural Alternatives International on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (86.00) from holding Natural Alternatives International or give up 19.95% of portfolio value over 90 days. Natural Alternatives International is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.0188% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Natural, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Natural Alternatives is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.46 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.04 per unit of volatility.

Natural Alternatives Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Natural Alternatives' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Natural Alternatives International, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Natural Alternatives' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1054

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Negative ReturnsNAII

Estimated Market Risk

 3.02
  actual daily
26
74% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.32
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.11
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Natural Alternatives is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Natural Alternatives by adding Natural Alternatives to a well-diversified portfolio.

Natural Alternatives Fundamentals Growth

Natural Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Natural Alternatives, and Natural Alternatives fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Natural Stock performance.

About Natural Alternatives Performance

By evaluating Natural Alternatives' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Natural Alternatives' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Natural Alternatives has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Natural Alternatives has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 74.49  54.78 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.05)(0.05)
Return On Capital Employed(0.07)(0.07)
Return On Assets(0.05)(0.05)
Return On Equity(0.10)(0.10)

Things to note about Natural Alternatives performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Natural Alternatives for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Natural Alternatives help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Natural Alternatives generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Natural Alternatives has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 113.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.27 M.
Natural Alternatives International currently holds about 21.83 M in cash with (1.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.59, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Natural Alternatives has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1602 shares by Ledoux Mark A of Natural Alternatives at 15.5 subject to Rule 16b-3
Evaluating Natural Alternatives' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Natural Alternatives' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Natural Alternatives' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Natural Alternatives' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Natural Alternatives' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Natural Alternatives' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Natural Alternatives' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Natural Alternatives' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Natural Alternatives' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Natural Alternatives' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Natural Alternatives' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Natural Stock analysis

When running Natural Alternatives' price analysis, check to measure Natural Alternatives' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Alternatives is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Alternatives' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Alternatives' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Alternatives' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Alternatives to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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