Gabelli Gold Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

GLDCX Fund  USD 23.37  0.22  0.93%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.41, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Gabelli Gold's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Gabelli Gold is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Gabelli Gold Fund are ranked lower than 23 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental indicators, Gabelli Gold showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Expense Ratio Date28th of April 2023
  

Gabelli Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,830  in Gabelli Gold Fund on December 21, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  529.00  from holding Gabelli Gold Fund or generate 28.91% return on investment over 90 days. Gabelli Gold Fund is currently producing 0.4341% returns and takes up 1.4322% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 12% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Gabelli, and 92% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gabelli Gold is expected to generate 1.7 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.7 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.3 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.04 per unit of risk.

Gabelli Gold Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
23.37
Please note that Gabelli Gold's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. Gabelli Gold retains a regular Real Value of $24.72 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $23.37. We determine the value of Gabelli Gold from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Gabelli Gold is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Gabelli Mutual Fund. However, Gabelli Gold's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  23.37 Real  24.72 Hype  23.37 Naive  24.87
The intrinsic value of Gabelli Gold's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Gabelli Gold's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
24.72
Real Value
26.15
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Gabelli Gold Fund helps investors to forecast how Gabelli mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Gabelli Gold more accurately as focusing exclusively on Gabelli Gold's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.0221.9823.95
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.9423.3724.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
23.4424.8726.30
Details

Gabelli Gold Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gabelli Gold's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Gabelli Gold Fund, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Gabelli Gold's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.3031

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Estimated Market Risk

 1.43
  actual daily
12
88% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.43
  actual daily
8
92% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.3
  actual daily
23
77% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Gabelli Gold is performing at about 23% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Gabelli Gold by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Gabelli Gold Fundamentals Growth

Gabelli Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Gabelli Gold, and Gabelli Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Gabelli Mutual Fund performance.

About Gabelli Gold Performance

Evaluating Gabelli Gold's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Gabelli Gold has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Gabelli Gold has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of foreign and domestic issuers principally engaged in gold related activities and gold bullion. Gabelli Gold is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Gabelli Gold performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gabelli Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Gabelli Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated-1.0 ten year return of -1.0%
Gabelli Gold retains 99.74% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Evaluating Gabelli Gold's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Gabelli Gold's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Gabelli Gold's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Gabelli Gold's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Gabelli Gold's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Gabelli Gold's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Gabelli Gold's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Gabelli Gold's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Gabelli Gold's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Gabelli Gold's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Gabelli Gold's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Gabelli Mutual Fund

Gabelli Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gabelli Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gabelli with respect to the benefits of owning Gabelli Gold security.
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