Dreyfus New Jersey Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

DZNJX Fund  USD 11.85  0.02  0.17%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0624, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Dreyfus New's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dreyfus New is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Dreyfus New Jersey has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward-looking indicators, Dreyfus New is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2023
Expense Ratio0.6600
  

Dreyfus New Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,189  in Dreyfus New Jersey on November 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (4.00) from holding Dreyfus New Jersey or give up 0.34% of portfolio value over 90 days. Dreyfus New Jersey is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.2611% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 2% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Dreyfus, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dreyfus New is expected to generate 0.36 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.8 times less risky than the market. It trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.07 per unit of risk.

Dreyfus New Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
11.85
Please note that Dreyfus New's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Dreyfus New Jersey shows a prevailing Real Value of $11.83 per share. The current price of the fund is $11.85. We determine the value of Dreyfus New Jersey from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Dreyfus New is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Dreyfus Mutual Fund. However, Dreyfus New's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.85 Real  11.83 Hype  11.85 Naive  11.86
The intrinsic value of Dreyfus New's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Dreyfus New's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
11.83
Real Value
12.09
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Dreyfus New Jersey helps investors to forecast how Dreyfus mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Dreyfus New more accurately as focusing exclusively on Dreyfus New's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.7111.7811.86
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.5911.8512.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
11.6011.8612.12
Details

Dreyfus New Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dreyfus New's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Dreyfus New Jersey, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Dreyfus New's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0206

Best PortfolioBest Equity
Good Returns
Average Returns
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CashSmall RiskAverage RiskHigh RiskHuge Risk
Negative ReturnsDZNJX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.26
  actual daily
2
98% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.01
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.02
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Dreyfus New is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Dreyfus New by adding Dreyfus New to a well-diversified portfolio.

Dreyfus New Fundamentals Growth

Dreyfus Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Dreyfus New, and Dreyfus New fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Dreyfus Mutual Fund performance.

About Dreyfus New Performance

Evaluating Dreyfus New's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Dreyfus New has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Dreyfus New has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The investment seeks as high a level of current income exempt from federal and New Jersey income taxes as is consistent with the preservation of capital. BNY Mellon is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Dreyfus New Jersey performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dreyfus New for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Dreyfus New Jersey help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dreyfus New Jersey generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains about 98.56% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Evaluating Dreyfus New's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Dreyfus New's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Dreyfus New's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Dreyfus New's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Dreyfus New's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Dreyfus New's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Dreyfus New's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Dreyfus New's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Dreyfus New's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Dreyfus New's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Dreyfus New's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Dreyfus Mutual Fund

Dreyfus New financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dreyfus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dreyfus with respect to the benefits of owning Dreyfus New security.
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