Arrow Dwa Tactical Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

DWTNX Fund  USD 9.60  0.09  0.93%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.17, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Arrow Dwa's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Arrow Dwa is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Arrow Dwa Tactical has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Arrow Dwa is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of December 2022
Expense Ratio1.8100
  

Arrow Dwa Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  975.00  in Arrow Dwa Tactical on October 12, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (6.00) from holding Arrow Dwa Tactical or give up 0.62% of portfolio value over 90 days. Arrow Dwa Tactical is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.6805% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 6% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Arrow, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Arrow Dwa is expected to generate 0.82 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.21 times less risky than the market. It trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.05 per unit of risk.

Arrow Dwa Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
9.60
Please note that Arrow Dwa's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Arrow Dwa Tactical shows a prevailing Real Value of $9.71 per share. The current price of the fund is $9.6. We determine the value of Arrow Dwa Tactical from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Arrow Dwa is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Arrow Mutual Fund. However, Arrow Dwa's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.6 Real  9.71 Hype  9.69 Naive  9.82
The intrinsic value of Arrow Dwa's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Arrow Dwa's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
9.71
Real Value
10.39
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Arrow Dwa Tactical helps investors to forecast how Arrow mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Arrow Dwa more accurately as focusing exclusively on Arrow Dwa's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.509.749.97
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.019.6910.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.149.8210.50
Details

Arrow Dwa Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Arrow Dwa's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Arrow Dwa Tactical, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Arrow Dwa's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0115

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.68
  actual daily
6
94% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.01
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.01
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Arrow Dwa is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Arrow Dwa by adding Arrow Dwa to a well-diversified portfolio.

Arrow Dwa Fundamentals Growth

Arrow Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Arrow Dwa, and Arrow Dwa fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Arrow Mutual Fund performance.

About Arrow Dwa Performance

Evaluating Arrow Dwa's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Arrow Dwa has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Arrow Dwa has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund primarily invests, either directly or indirectly through investments in exchange traded funds and other investment companies , in equity securities, fixed income securities, or alternative assets. It may invest up to 25 percent of its total assets in a wholly-owned and controlled subsidiary .

Things to note about Arrow Dwa Tactical performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Arrow Dwa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Arrow Dwa Tactical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arrow Dwa Tactical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains about 7.6% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Arrow Dwa's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Arrow Dwa's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Arrow Dwa's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Arrow Dwa's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Arrow Dwa's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Arrow Dwa's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Arrow Dwa's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Arrow Dwa's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Arrow Dwa's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Arrow Dwa's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Arrow Dwa's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Arrow Mutual Fund

Arrow Dwa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arrow Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arrow with respect to the benefits of owning Arrow Dwa security.
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