Cinemark Holdings (Germany) Market Value
| ZZA Stock | EUR 21.97 0.18 0.83% |
| Symbol | Cinemark |
Cinemark Holdings 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cinemark Holdings' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cinemark Holdings.
| 12/17/2024 |
| 03/17/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Cinemark Holdings on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cinemark Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cinemark Holdings over 90 days. Cinemark Holdings is related to or competes with Sumitomo Mitsui, China Eastern, Gol Intelligent, Federal Agricultural, Titan Machinery, and Tokyu Construction. Cinemark Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the motion picture exhibition business More
Cinemark Holdings Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cinemark Holdings' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cinemark Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.19) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.14 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.37) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.32 |
Cinemark Holdings Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cinemark Holdings' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cinemark Holdings' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cinemark Holdings historical prices to predict the future Cinemark Holdings' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.20) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.58) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.28) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (7.96) |
Cinemark Holdings Backtested Returns
Cinemark Holdings secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.2, which signifies that the company had a -0.2 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Cinemark Holdings exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Cinemark Holdings' Mean Deviation of 1.59, standard deviation of 2.49, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.20) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0739, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Cinemark Holdings' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cinemark Holdings is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Cinemark Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.49%. Please make sure to confirm Cinemark Holdings' potential upside, rate of daily change, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Cinemark Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.85 |
Very good predictability
Cinemark Holdings has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cinemark Holdings time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cinemark Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of 0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Cinemark Holdings price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.85 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.74 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 8.84 |
Cinemark Holdings lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Cinemark Holdings stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Cinemark Holdings' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Cinemark Holdings returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Cinemark Holdings has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Cinemark Holdings regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Cinemark Holdings stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Cinemark Holdings stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Cinemark Holdings stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Cinemark Holdings Lagged Returns
When evaluating Cinemark Holdings' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Cinemark Holdings stock have on its future price. Cinemark Holdings autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Cinemark Holdings autocorrelation shows the relationship between Cinemark Holdings stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Cinemark Holdings.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Cinemark Stock
When determining whether Cinemark Holdings is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Cinemark Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Cinemark Holdings Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Cinemark Holdings Stock:Check out Cinemark Holdings Correlation, Cinemark Holdings Volatility and Cinemark Holdings Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Cinemark Holdings. For more detail on how to invest in Cinemark Stock please use our How to Invest in Cinemark Holdings guide.You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Cinemark Holdings technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.