Gevo (Germany) Market Value
| ZGV3 Stock | EUR 2.80 0.22 8.53% |
| Symbol | Gevo |
Gevo 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gevo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gevo.
| 12/07/2024 |
| 01/06/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Gevo on December 7, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gevo Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gevo over 30 days. Gevo is related to or competes with Telecom Argentina, Shenandoah Telecommunicatio, Ebro Foods, Lery Seafood, Tyson Foods, Cogent Communications, and China Communications. The company commercializes gasoline, jet fuel, and diesel fuel to achieve zero carbon emissions, and reduce greenhouse g... More
Gevo Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gevo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gevo Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 6.76 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1333 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 45.17 | |||
| Value At Risk | (10.22) | |||
| Potential Upside | 20.1 |
Gevo Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gevo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gevo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gevo historical prices to predict the future Gevo's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1192 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.28 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 1.12 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1841 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.64) |
Gevo Inc Backtested Returns
Gevo is extremely dangerous given 3 months investment horizon. Gevo Inc holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.14, which attests that the entity had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.31% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Gevo Inc Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.63), risk adjusted performance of 0.1192, and Downside Deviation of 6.76 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Gevo holds a performance score of 10 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -1.96, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Gevo are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Gevo is expected to outperform it. Use Gevo Inc downside variance, expected short fall, and the relationship between the potential upside and semi variance , to analyze future returns on Gevo Inc.
Auto-correlation | -0.08 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Gevo Inc has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gevo time series from 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024 and 22nd of December 2024 to 6th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gevo Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current Gevo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.08 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.09 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.19 |
Gevo Inc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Gevo stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gevo's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gevo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gevo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Gevo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gevo stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gevo stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gevo stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Gevo Lagged Returns
When evaluating Gevo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gevo stock have on its future price. Gevo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gevo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gevo stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gevo Inc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Gevo Stock
When determining whether Gevo Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gevo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gevo Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gevo Inc Stock:Check out Gevo Correlation, Gevo Volatility and Gevo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gevo. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Gevo technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.