Investec Global Franchise Fund Market Value

ZGFIX Fund  USD 18.05  0.11  0.61%   
Investec Global's market value is the price at which a share of Investec Global trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Investec Global Franchise investors about its performance. Investec Global is trading at 18.05 as of the 15th of December 2024; that is 0.61 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 18.16.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Investec Global Franchise and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Investec Global over a given investment horizon. Check out Investec Global Correlation, Investec Global Volatility and Investec Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Investec Global.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Investec Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Investec Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Investec Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Investec Global 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Investec Global's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Investec Global.
0.00
12/26/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Investec Global on December 26, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Investec Global Franchise or generate 0.0% return on investment in Investec Global over 720 days. Under normal circumstances, the Adviser seeks to achieve the funds investment objective by investing primarily in common... More

Investec Global Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Investec Global's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Investec Global Franchise upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Investec Global Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Investec Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Investec Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Investec Global historical prices to predict the future Investec Global's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.5018.0518.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.4117.9618.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.5118.0618.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.3817.8118.24
Details

Investec Global Franchise Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Investec Mutual Fund to be very steady. Investec Global Franchise holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0718, which attests that the entity had a 0.0718% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Investec Global Franchise, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Investec Global's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0723, market risk adjusted performance of 0.106, and Downside Deviation of 0.5824 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0395%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.5, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Investec Global's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Investec Global is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.62  

Good predictability

Investec Global Franchise has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Investec Global time series from 26th of December 2022 to 21st of December 2023 and 21st of December 2023 to 15th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Investec Global Franchise price movement. The serial correlation of 0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Investec Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.62
Spearman Rank Test0.6
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.26

Investec Global Franchise lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Investec Global mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Investec Global's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Investec Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Investec Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Investec Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Investec Global mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Investec Global mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Investec Global mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Investec Global Lagged Returns

When evaluating Investec Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Investec Global mutual fund have on its future price. Investec Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Investec Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Investec Global mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Investec Global Franchise.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Investec Mutual Fund

Investec Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Investec Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Investec with respect to the benefits of owning Investec Global security.
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