Xtrackers (Germany) Market Value

XJSE Etf  EUR 7.86  0.01  0.13%   
Xtrackers' market value is the price at which a share of Xtrackers trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Xtrackers II investors about its performance. Xtrackers is trading at 7.86 as of the 4th of December 2024. This is a 0.13 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's lowest day price was 7.83.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Xtrackers II and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Xtrackers over a given investment horizon. Check out Xtrackers Correlation, Xtrackers Volatility and Xtrackers Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Xtrackers.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Xtrackers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xtrackers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xtrackers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Xtrackers 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Xtrackers' etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Xtrackers.
0.00
12/15/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Xtrackers on December 15, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Xtrackers II or generate 0.0% return on investment in Xtrackers over 720 days. Xtrackers is related to or competes with Xtrackers FTSE. The aim is for the investment to reflect the performance of the FTSE Japanese Government Bond Index More

Xtrackers Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Xtrackers' etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Xtrackers II upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Xtrackers Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Xtrackers' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Xtrackers' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Xtrackers historical prices to predict the future Xtrackers' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xtrackers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.037.868.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.007.838.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.107.938.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.497.647.78
Details

Xtrackers II Backtested Returns

Xtrackers II shows Sharpe Ratio of -7.0E-4, which attests that the etf had a -7.0E-4% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Xtrackers II exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Xtrackers' Mean Deviation of 0.512, market risk adjusted performance of (4.40), and Downside Deviation of 0.6826 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The entity maintains a market beta of -0.0029, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Xtrackers are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Xtrackers is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.06  

Virtually no predictability

Xtrackers II has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Xtrackers time series from 15th of December 2022 to 10th of December 2023 and 10th of December 2023 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Xtrackers II price movement. The serial correlation of 0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current Xtrackers price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.06
Spearman Rank Test0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.1

Xtrackers II lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Xtrackers etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Xtrackers' etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Xtrackers returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Xtrackers has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Xtrackers regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Xtrackers etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Xtrackers etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Xtrackers etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Xtrackers Lagged Returns

When evaluating Xtrackers' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Xtrackers etf have on its future price. Xtrackers autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Xtrackers autocorrelation shows the relationship between Xtrackers etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Xtrackers II .
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Xtrackers Etf

Xtrackers financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xtrackers Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xtrackers with respect to the benefits of owning Xtrackers security.