Xinyuan Real Estate Stock Market Value
| XIN Stock | USD 2.56 0.09 3.40% |
| Symbol | Xinyuan |
Xinyuan Real Estate Price To Book Ratio
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xinyuan Real. If investors know Xinyuan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xinyuan Real listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.927 | Earnings Share 6.58 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.27) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Xinyuan Real Estate is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xinyuan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xinyuan Real's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xinyuan Real's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xinyuan Real's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xinyuan Real's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xinyuan Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xinyuan Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xinyuan Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Xinyuan Real 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Xinyuan Real's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Xinyuan Real.
| 12/22/2024 |
| 03/22/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Xinyuan Real on December 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Xinyuan Real Estate or generate 0.0% return on investment in Xinyuan Real over 90 days. Xinyuan Real is related to or competes with AMREP, Alset Ehome, Landsea Homes, American Realty, and Sino Land. Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in residential real estate development and constr... More
Xinyuan Real Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Xinyuan Real's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Xinyuan Real Estate upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.85 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.022 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.34) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.67 |
Xinyuan Real Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Xinyuan Real's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Xinyuan Real's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Xinyuan Real historical prices to predict the future Xinyuan Real's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0143 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0326 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3164 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0224 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0931 |
Xinyuan Real Estate Backtested Returns
Xinyuan Real appears to be risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Xinyuan Real Estate shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.0528, which attests that the company had a 0.0528 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Xinyuan Real Estate, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please utilize Xinyuan Real's Downside Deviation of 3.85, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1031, and Mean Deviation of 3.01 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Xinyuan Real holds a performance score of 4. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.2, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Xinyuan Real's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Xinyuan Real is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Xinyuan Real's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Xinyuan Real's historical returns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.26 |
Poor predictability
Xinyuan Real Estate has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Xinyuan Real time series from 22nd of December 2024 to 5th of February 2025 and 5th of February 2025 to 22nd of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Xinyuan Real Estate price movement. The serial correlation of 0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Xinyuan Real price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.26 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.02 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Xinyuan Real Estate lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Xinyuan Real stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Xinyuan Real's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Xinyuan Real returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Xinyuan Real has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Xinyuan Real regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Xinyuan Real stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Xinyuan Real stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Xinyuan Real stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Xinyuan Real Lagged Returns
When evaluating Xinyuan Real's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Xinyuan Real stock have on its future price. Xinyuan Real autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Xinyuan Real autocorrelation shows the relationship between Xinyuan Real stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Xinyuan Real Estate.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
When determining whether Xinyuan Real Estate offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Xinyuan Real's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Xinyuan Real Estate Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Xinyuan Real Estate Stock:
Check out Xinyuan Real Correlation, Xinyuan Real Volatility and Xinyuan Real Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Xinyuan Real. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Xinyuan Real technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.