X Fab (France) Market Value

XFAB Stock  EUR 4.95  0.22  4.26%   
X Fab's market value is the price at which a share of X Fab trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of X Fab Silicon investors about its performance. X Fab is trading at 4.95 as of the 26th of February 2025, a 4.26 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 5.17.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of X Fab Silicon and determine expected loss or profit from investing in X Fab over a given investment horizon. Check out X Fab Correlation, X Fab Volatility and X Fab Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on X Fab.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between X Fab's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if X Fab is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, X Fab's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

X Fab 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to X Fab's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of X Fab.
0.00
01/27/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/26/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in X Fab on January 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding X Fab Silicon or generate 0.0% return on investment in X Fab over 30 days. X Fab is related to or competes with Melexis NV, Ageas SANV, Sofina Socit, Barco NV, and Ackermans Van. X-FAB Silicon Foundries SE operates as an analogmixed-signal semiconductor technology foundry in Europe, Asia, North Ame... More

X Fab Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure X Fab's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess X Fab Silicon upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

X Fab Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for X Fab's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as X Fab's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use X Fab historical prices to predict the future X Fab's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.074.957.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.974.857.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.525.408.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.444.875.30
Details

X Fab Silicon Backtested Returns

X Fab appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. X Fab Silicon shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.0997, which attests that the company had a 0.0997 % return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for X Fab Silicon, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize X Fab's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0802, mean deviation of 2.15, and Downside Deviation of 2.77 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, X Fab holds a performance score of 7. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.58, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, X Fab's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding X Fab is expected to be smaller as well. Please check X Fab's jensen alpha, sortino ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether X Fab's historical returns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.64  

Very good reverse predictability

X Fab Silicon has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between X Fab time series from 27th of January 2025 to 11th of February 2025 and 11th of February 2025 to 26th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of X Fab Silicon price movement. The serial correlation of -0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current X Fab price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.64
Spearman Rank Test-0.84
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

X Fab Silicon lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is X Fab stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting X Fab's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of X Fab returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that X Fab has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

X Fab regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If X Fab stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if X Fab stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in X Fab stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

X Fab Lagged Returns

When evaluating X Fab's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of X Fab stock have on its future price. X Fab autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, X Fab autocorrelation shows the relationship between X Fab stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in X Fab Silicon.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in XFAB Stock

X Fab financial ratios help investors to determine whether XFAB Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in XFAB with respect to the benefits of owning X Fab security.