Fundo Investimento (Brazil) Market Value

VTLT11 Fund  BRL 90.24  0.41  0.46%   
Fundo Investimento's market value is the price at which a share of Fundo Investimento trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fundo Investimento Imobiliario investors about its performance. Fundo Investimento is trading at 90.24 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 0.46% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 89.83.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fundo Investimento Imobiliario and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fundo Investimento over a given investment horizon. Check out Fundo Investimento Correlation, Fundo Investimento Volatility and Fundo Investimento Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fundo Investimento.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fundo Investimento's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fundo Investimento is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fundo Investimento's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fundo Investimento 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fundo Investimento's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fundo Investimento.
0.00
05/06/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 6 months and 30 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fundo Investimento on May 6, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fundo Investimento Imobiliario or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fundo Investimento over 210 days. Fundo Investimento is related to or competes with BTG Pactual, and BB Renda. More

Fundo Investimento Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fundo Investimento's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fundo Investimento Imobiliario upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fundo Investimento Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fundo Investimento's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fundo Investimento's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fundo Investimento historical prices to predict the future Fundo Investimento's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.5990.2490.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
89.1489.7990.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
90.2090.8691.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
89.0490.2091.36
Details

Fundo Investimento Backtested Returns

Fundo Investimento secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which denotes the fund had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Fundo Investimento Imobiliario exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Fundo Investimento's Mean Deviation of 0.5048, variance of 0.4394, and Standard Deviation of 0.6629 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0806, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Fundo Investimento are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Fundo Investimento is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.38  

Below average predictability

Fundo Investimento Imobiliario has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fundo Investimento time series from 6th of May 2024 to 19th of August 2024 and 19th of August 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fundo Investimento price movement. The serial correlation of 0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Fundo Investimento price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.38
Spearman Rank Test0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.72

Fundo Investimento lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fundo Investimento fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fundo Investimento's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fundo Investimento returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fundo Investimento has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fundo Investimento regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fundo Investimento fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fundo Investimento fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fundo Investimento fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fundo Investimento Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fundo Investimento's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fundo Investimento fund have on its future price. Fundo Investimento autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fundo Investimento autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fundo Investimento fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fundo Investimento Imobiliario.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Fundo Fund

Fundo Investimento financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fundo Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fundo with respect to the benefits of owning Fundo Investimento security.
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