Vanguard Pennsylvania Long Term Fund Market Value
| VPAIX Fund | USD 10.69 0.02 0.19% |
| Symbol | Vanguard |
Vanguard Pennsylvania 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Pennsylvania's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Pennsylvania.
| 12/15/2024 |
| 03/15/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Vanguard Pennsylvania on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Pennsylvania Long Term or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Pennsylvania over 90 days. Vanguard Pennsylvania is related to or competes with Vanguard Ohio, Vanguard Massachusetts, Vanguard New, Vanguard New, and Vanguard Long-term. The fund invests primarily in high-quality municipal bonds issued by Pennsylvania state and local governments, as well a... More
Vanguard Pennsylvania Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Pennsylvania's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Pennsylvania Long Term upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | 0.3049 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.21 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.56) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.3714 |
Vanguard Pennsylvania Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Pennsylvania's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Pennsylvania's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Pennsylvania historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Pennsylvania's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0093 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.44) |
Vanguard Pennsylvania Backtested Returns
Vanguard Pennsylvania owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.055, which indicates the fund had a -0.055 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vanguard Pennsylvania Long Term exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vanguard Pennsylvania's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), coefficient of variation of (1,818), and Variance of 0.0757 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.0567, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Pennsylvania's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Pennsylvania is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.64 |
Very good reverse predictability
Vanguard Pennsylvania Long Term has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Pennsylvania time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Pennsylvania price movement. The serial correlation of -0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Vanguard Pennsylvania price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.64 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.14 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Vanguard Pennsylvania lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Pennsylvania mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Pennsylvania's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Pennsylvania returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Pennsylvania has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Pennsylvania regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Pennsylvania mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Pennsylvania mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Pennsylvania mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Pennsylvania Lagged Returns
When evaluating Vanguard Pennsylvania's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Pennsylvania mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Pennsylvania autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Pennsylvania autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Pennsylvania mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Pennsylvania Long Term.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund
Vanguard Pennsylvania financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Pennsylvania security.
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