Valley National Bancorp Preferred Stock Market Value
| VLYPP Preferred Stock | USD 24.80 0.14 0.57% |
| Symbol | Valley |
Valley National 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Valley National's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Valley National.
| 12/16/2024 |
| 03/16/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Valley National on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Valley National Bancorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Valley National over 90 days. Valley National is related to or competes with Valley National, Washington Federal, US Bancorp, US Bancorp, US Bancorp, Regions Financial, and US Bancorp. Valley National Bancorp operates as the holding company for Valley National Bank that provides various commercial, retai... More
Valley National Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Valley National's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Valley National Bancorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.6897 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.173 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.03 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.81) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.9434 |
Valley National Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Valley National's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Valley National's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Valley National historical prices to predict the future Valley National's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0154 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0859 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.164 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.03) |
Valley National Bancorp Backtested Returns
Currently, Valley National Bancorp is very steady. Valley National Bancorp owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0215, which indicates the firm had a 0.0215 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Valley National Bancorp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Valley National's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0154, coefficient of variation of 4655.39, and Semi Deviation of 0.5881 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.014%. Valley National has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.15, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Valley National are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Valley National is likely to outperform the market. Valley National Bancorp right now has a risk of 0.65%. Please validate Valley National value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to decide if Valley National will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.44 |
Modest reverse predictability
Valley National Bancorp has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Valley National time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Valley National Bancorp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current Valley National price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.44 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.03 |
Valley National Bancorp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Valley National preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Valley National's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Valley National returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Valley National has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Valley National regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Valley National preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Valley National preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Valley National preferred stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Valley National Lagged Returns
When evaluating Valley National's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Valley National preferred stock have on its future price. Valley National autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Valley National autocorrelation shows the relationship between Valley National preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Valley National Bancorp.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Additional Tools for Valley Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Valley National's price analysis, check to measure Valley National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Valley National is operating at the current time. Most of Valley National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Valley National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Valley National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Valley National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.