Vidrala SA (Germany) Market Value
| VIR Stock | EUR 93.30 0.90 0.96% |
| Symbol | Vidrala |
Vidrala SA 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vidrala SA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vidrala SA.
| 12/30/2022 |
| 12/19/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Vidrala SA on December 30, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vidrala SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vidrala SA over 720 days. Vidrala SA is related to or competes with Packaging, Superior Plus, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, Norsk Hydro, Reliance Steel, RYOHIN UNSPADR1, and Vanguard Funds. Vidrala, S.A. manufactures and sells glass containers for food and beverage products in Spain, the United Kingdom, Irela... More
Vidrala SA Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vidrala SA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vidrala SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.69 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.90) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.53 |
Vidrala SA Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vidrala SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vidrala SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vidrala SA historical prices to predict the future Vidrala SA's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0159 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0087 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1199 |
Vidrala SA Backtested Returns
Vidrala SA owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0278, which indicates the firm had a -0.0278% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vidrala SA exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vidrala SA's Coefficient Of Variation of 7029.51, risk adjusted performance of 0.0159, and Semi Deviation of 1.45 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.0907, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Vidrala SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vidrala SA is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Vidrala SA has a negative expected return of -0.0398%. Please make sure to validate Vidrala SA's sortino ratio, potential upside, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if Vidrala SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.4 |
Poor reverse predictability
Vidrala SA has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vidrala SA time series from 30th of December 2022 to 25th of December 2023 and 25th of December 2023 to 19th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vidrala SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Vidrala SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.4 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.38 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 32.81 |
Vidrala SA lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Vidrala SA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vidrala SA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vidrala SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vidrala SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
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Vidrala SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vidrala SA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vidrala SA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vidrala SA stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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Vidrala SA Lagged Returns
When evaluating Vidrala SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vidrala SA stock have on its future price. Vidrala SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vidrala SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vidrala SA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vidrala SA.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Vidrala Stock
Vidrala SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vidrala Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vidrala with respect to the benefits of owning Vidrala SA security.