Vinyl Chemicals (India) Market Value

VINYLINDIA   264.70  4.70  1.74%   
Vinyl Chemicals' market value is the price at which a share of Vinyl Chemicals trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vinyl Chemicals Limited investors about its performance. Vinyl Chemicals is selling at 264.70 as of the 13th of February 2025; that is 1.74 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 269.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vinyl Chemicals Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vinyl Chemicals over a given investment horizon. Check out Vinyl Chemicals Correlation, Vinyl Chemicals Volatility and Vinyl Chemicals Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vinyl Chemicals.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vinyl Chemicals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vinyl Chemicals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vinyl Chemicals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vinyl Chemicals 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vinyl Chemicals' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vinyl Chemicals.
0.00
11/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/13/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vinyl Chemicals on November 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vinyl Chemicals Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vinyl Chemicals over 90 days. Vinyl Chemicals is related to or competes with RBL Bank, Prakash Steelage, UCO Bank, Steelcast, Tata Steel, Karur Vysya, and Keynote Financial. Vinyl Chemicals is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Vinyl Chemicals Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vinyl Chemicals' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vinyl Chemicals Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vinyl Chemicals Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vinyl Chemicals' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vinyl Chemicals' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vinyl Chemicals historical prices to predict the future Vinyl Chemicals' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
259.37261.46291.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
262.61264.70266.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
252.90254.99257.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
263.58303.21342.84
Details

Vinyl Chemicals Backtested Returns

Vinyl Chemicals owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.18, which indicates the firm had a -0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vinyl Chemicals Limited exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vinyl Chemicals' Variance of 4.15, coefficient of variation of (481.21), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.14) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.34, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vinyl Chemicals' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vinyl Chemicals is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Vinyl Chemicals has a negative expected return of -0.37%. Please make sure to validate Vinyl Chemicals' treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Vinyl Chemicals performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.15  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Vinyl Chemicals Limited has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vinyl Chemicals time series from 15th of November 2024 to 30th of December 2024 and 30th of December 2024 to 13th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vinyl Chemicals price movement. The serial correlation of -0.15 indicates that less than 15.0% of current Vinyl Chemicals price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.15
Spearman Rank Test-0.18
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance410.66
Vinyl ReturnsVinyl Lagged ReturnsDiversified AwayVinyl ReturnsVinyl Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

Vinyl Chemicals lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vinyl Chemicals stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vinyl Chemicals' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vinyl Chemicals returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vinyl Chemicals has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Dec 30JanJan 09Jan 14Jan 19Jan 24Jan 29FebFeb 08-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
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Vinyl Chemicals regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vinyl Chemicals stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vinyl Chemicals stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vinyl Chemicals stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Dec 30JanJan 09Jan 14Jan 19Jan 24Jan 29FebFeb 08280290300310320330340350
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
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Vinyl Chemicals Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vinyl Chemicals' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vinyl Chemicals stock have on its future price. Vinyl Chemicals autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vinyl Chemicals autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vinyl Chemicals stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vinyl Chemicals Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Dec2025260280300320340360380
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Vinyl Stock

Vinyl Chemicals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vinyl Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vinyl with respect to the benefits of owning Vinyl Chemicals security.
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