Fresh Grapes LLC Market Value
| VINEDelisted Stock | USD 0.57 0.06 11.76% |
| Symbol | Fresh |
Fresh Grapes 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fresh Grapes' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fresh Grapes.
| 12/25/2024 |
| 03/25/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Fresh Grapes on December 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fresh Grapes LLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fresh Grapes over 90 days. Fresh Grapes is related to or competes with Andrew Peller, Naked Wines, Willamette Valley, Naked Wines, Treasury Wine, Willamette Valley, and Becle SA. Fresh Vine Wine, Inc. produces and sells low-carb and low-calorie wines in the United States and Puerto Rico More
Fresh Grapes Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fresh Grapes' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fresh Grapes LLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 7.08 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0089 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 33.51 | |||
| Value At Risk | (11.11) | |||
| Potential Upside | 12.33 |
Fresh Grapes Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fresh Grapes' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fresh Grapes' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fresh Grapes historical prices to predict the future Fresh Grapes' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0136 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0618 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3264 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0093 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0324 |
Fresh Grapes LLC Backtested Returns
At this point, Fresh Grapes is out of control. Fresh Grapes LLC secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.011, which denotes the company had a 0.011 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Fresh Grapes LLC, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Fresh Grapes' Mean Deviation of 5.64, downside deviation of 7.08, and Coefficient Of Variation of 18812.74 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0797%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.9, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Fresh Grapes returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Fresh Grapes is expected to follow. Fresh Grapes LLC right now shows a risk of 7.22%. Please confirm Fresh Grapes LLC total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to decide if Fresh Grapes LLC will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.36 |
Poor reverse predictability
Fresh Grapes LLC has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fresh Grapes time series from 25th of December 2024 to 8th of February 2025 and 8th of February 2025 to 25th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fresh Grapes LLC price movement. The serial correlation of -0.36 indicates that just about 36.0% of current Fresh Grapes price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.36 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.27 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Fresh Grapes LLC lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Fresh Grapes stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fresh Grapes' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fresh Grapes returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fresh Grapes has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Fresh Grapes regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fresh Grapes stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fresh Grapes stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fresh Grapes stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Fresh Grapes Lagged Returns
When evaluating Fresh Grapes' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fresh Grapes stock have on its future price. Fresh Grapes autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fresh Grapes autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fresh Grapes stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fresh Grapes LLC.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| ZLAB | Zai Lab | |
| ASLE | AerSale Corp | |
| ATS | AT S Austria |
Check out Fresh Grapes Correlation, Fresh Grapes Volatility and Fresh Grapes Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fresh Grapes. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Other Consideration for investing in Fresh Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Fresh Grapes LLC check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Fresh Grapes' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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