Victory Select Fund Market Value

VFSAX Fund  USD 28.00  0.20  0.71%   
Victory Select's market value is the price at which a share of Victory Select trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Victory Select Fund investors about its performance. Victory Select is trading at 28.00 as of the 10th of January 2025; that is 0.71% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 28.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Victory Select Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Victory Select over a given investment horizon. Check out Victory Select Correlation, Victory Select Volatility and Victory Select Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Victory Select.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Victory Select's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Victory Select is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Victory Select's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Victory Select 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Victory Select's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Victory Select.
0.00
04/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 8 months and 28 days
01/10/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Victory Select on April 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Victory Select Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Victory Select over 270 days. Victory Select is related to or competes with Vanguard Global, Vanguard Ftse, Vanguard Developed, Vanguard International, and Vanguard Emerging. The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the index More

Victory Select Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Victory Select's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Victory Select Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Victory Select Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Victory Select's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Victory Select's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Victory Select historical prices to predict the future Victory Select's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.4028.0028.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.6328.2328.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.8028.4029.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.6128.3629.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Victory Select. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Victory Select's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Victory Select's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Victory Select.

Victory Select Backtested Returns

Victory Select owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.17, which indicates the fund had a -0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Victory Select Fund exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Victory Select's Variance of 0.3522, coefficient of variation of (535.66), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.15) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.17, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Victory Select's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Victory Select is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.09  

Very weak reverse predictability

Victory Select Fund has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Victory Select time series from 15th of April 2024 to 28th of August 2024 and 28th of August 2024 to 10th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Victory Select price movement. The serial correlation of -0.09 indicates that less than 9.0% of current Victory Select price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.09
Spearman Rank Test-0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.41

Victory Select lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Victory Select mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Victory Select's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Victory Select returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Victory Select has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Victory Select regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Victory Select mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Victory Select mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Victory Select mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Victory Select Lagged Returns

When evaluating Victory Select's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Victory Select mutual fund have on its future price. Victory Select autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Victory Select autocorrelation shows the relationship between Victory Select mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Victory Select Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Victory Mutual Fund

Victory Select financial ratios help investors to determine whether Victory Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Victory with respect to the benefits of owning Victory Select security.
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