Vanguard Short Term Treasury Fund Market Value

VFISX Fund  USD 9.86  0.02  0.20%   
Vanguard Short's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard Short trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard Short Term Treasury investors about its performance. Vanguard Short is trading at 9.86 as of the 15th of March 2025; that is 0.2 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.88.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard Short Term Treasury and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard Short over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard Short Correlation, Vanguard Short Volatility and Vanguard Short Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Short.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Short's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Short is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Short's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard Short 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Short's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Short.
0.00
12/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/15/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard Short on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Short Term Treasury or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Short over 90 days. Vanguard Short is related to or competes with Vanguard Intermediate, Vanguard Long-term, Vanguard Short-term, Vanguard Short-term, and Vanguard Inflation-protec. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in U.S More

Vanguard Short Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Short's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Short Term Treasury upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard Short Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Short's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Short's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Short historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Short's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Short's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
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9.729.8610.00
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Intrinsic
Valuation
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9.709.849.98
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Vanguard Short Term Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Vanguard Mutual Fund to be very steady. Vanguard Short Term owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.17, which indicates the fund had a 0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Vanguard Short Term Treasury, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Vanguard Short's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0444, standard deviation of 0.1404, and Downside Deviation of 0.1484 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0235%. The entity has a beta of 0.014, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Short's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Short is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.52  

Modest predictability

Vanguard Short Term Treasury has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Short time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Short Term price movement. The serial correlation of 0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Vanguard Short price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.52
Spearman Rank Test0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Vanguard Short Term lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Short mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Short's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Short returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Short has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Short regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Short mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Short mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Short mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Short Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard Short's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Short mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Short autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Short autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Short mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Short Term Treasury.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Short financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Short security.
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