Vanguard Explorer Fund Market Value

VEXRX Fund  USD 98.17  2.45  2.56%   
Vanguard Explorer's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard Explorer trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard Explorer Fund investors about its performance. Vanguard Explorer is trading at 98.17 as of the 16th of March 2025; that is 2.56 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 95.72.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard Explorer Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard Explorer over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard Explorer Correlation, Vanguard Explorer Volatility and Vanguard Explorer Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Explorer.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Explorer's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Explorer is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Explorer's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard Explorer 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Explorer's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Explorer.
0.00
12/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard Explorer on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Explorer Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Explorer over 90 days. Vanguard Explorer is related to or competes with Vanguard International, Vanguard Windsor, Vanguard Primecap, Vanguard, and Vanguard Mid-cap. The fund invests mainly in the stocks of small and mid-size companies, choosing stocks considered by the funds advisors ... More

Vanguard Explorer Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Explorer's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Explorer Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard Explorer Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Explorer's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Explorer's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Explorer historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Explorer's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.7398.1799.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.9984.43107.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.7798.2199.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
96.34106.22116.10
Details

Vanguard Explorer Backtested Returns

Vanguard Explorer owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.21, which indicates the fund had a -0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vanguard Explorer Fund exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vanguard Explorer's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.19), variance of 1.94, and Coefficient Of Variation of (450.34) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 1.04, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Vanguard Explorer returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vanguard Explorer is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.16  

Very weak predictability

Vanguard Explorer Fund has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Explorer time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Explorer price movement. The serial correlation of 0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current Vanguard Explorer price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.16
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance27.83

Vanguard Explorer lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Explorer mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Explorer's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Explorer returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Explorer has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Explorer regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Explorer mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Explorer mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Explorer mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Explorer Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard Explorer's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Explorer mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Explorer autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Explorer autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Explorer mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Explorer Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Explorer financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Explorer security.
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