Invesco American Franchise Fund Market Value

VAFAX Fund  USD 29.75  0.37  1.26%   
Invesco American's market value is the price at which a share of Invesco American trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Invesco American Franchise investors about its performance. Invesco American is trading at 29.75 as of the 22nd of December 2024; that is 1.26% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 29.38.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Invesco American Franchise and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Invesco American over a given investment horizon. Check out Invesco American Correlation, Invesco American Volatility and Invesco American Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invesco American.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Invesco American 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invesco American's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invesco American.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Invesco American on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invesco American Franchise or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invesco American over 30 days. Invesco American is related to or competes with Invesco Municipal, Invesco Municipal, Invesco Municipal, Oppenheimer Rising, Invesco High, Oppenheimer Strategic, and Oppenheimer International. The fund invests, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of U.S More

Invesco American Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invesco American's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invesco American Franchise upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Invesco American Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco American's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invesco American's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invesco American historical prices to predict the future Invesco American's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.6729.7830.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.6729.7830.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.4728.5829.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.2830.7432.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco American. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco American's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco American's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Invesco American Fra.

Invesco American Fra Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Invesco Mutual Fund to be very steady. Invesco American Fra holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.075, which attests that the entity had a 0.075% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Invesco American Fra, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Invesco American's Downside Deviation of 1.46, market risk adjusted performance of 0.0854, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0607 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0836%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.94, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Invesco American returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Invesco American is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.92  

Near perfect reversele predictability

Invesco American Franchise has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invesco American time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invesco American Fra price movement. The serial correlation of -0.92 indicates that approximately 92.0% of current Invesco American price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.92
Spearman Rank Test-0.85
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.74

Invesco American Fra lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Invesco American mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invesco American's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invesco American returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invesco American has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Invesco American regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invesco American mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invesco American mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invesco American mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Invesco American Lagged Returns

When evaluating Invesco American's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invesco American mutual fund have on its future price. Invesco American autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invesco American autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invesco American mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invesco American Franchise.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco American financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco American security.
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