Visa's market value is the price at which a share of Visa trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Visa Inc investors about its performance. Visa is trading at 6367.59 as of the 8th of January 2025; that is 0.36 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 6345.0. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Visa Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Visa over a given investment horizon. Check out Visa Correlation, Visa Volatility and Visa Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Visa.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Visa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Visa is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Visa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Visa 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Visa's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Visa.
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Visa's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Visa Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Visa's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Visa's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Visa historical prices to predict the future Visa's volatility.
Visa appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Visa Inc owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.22, which indicates the firm had a 0.22% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Visa Inc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Visa's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1795, coefficient of variation of 458.26, and Semi Deviation of 0.6055 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Visa holds a performance score of 17. The entity has a beta of 0.0022, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Visa's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Visa is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Visa's downside variance, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and market facilitation index , to make a quick decision on whether Visa's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation
-0.17
Insignificant reverse predictability
Visa Inc has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Visa time series from 9th of December 2024 to 24th of December 2024 and 24th of December 2024 to 8th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Visa Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current Visa price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
-0.17
Spearman Rank Test
-0.21
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
7519.43
Visa Inc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Visa stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Visa's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Visa returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Visa has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
Visa regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Visa stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Visa stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Visa stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
Visa Lagged Returns
When evaluating Visa's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Visa stock have on its future price. Visa autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Visa autocorrelation shows the relationship between Visa stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Visa Inc.
Regressed Prices
Timeline
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When running Visa's price analysis, check to measure Visa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Visa is operating at the current time. Most of Visa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Visa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Visa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Visa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.