Universal Security Instruments Stock Market Value
| UUU Stock | USD 2.37 0.05 2.16% |
| Symbol | Universal |
Universal Security Price To Book Ratio
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Universal Security. If investors know Universal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Universal Security listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.73) | Earnings Share (0.43) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.31) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Universal Security is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Universal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Universal Security's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Universal Security's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Universal Security's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Universal Security's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Universal Security's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Universal Security is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Universal Security's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Universal Security 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Universal Security's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Universal Security.
| 12/07/2024 |
| 01/06/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Universal Security on December 7, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Universal Security Instruments or generate 0.0% return on investment in Universal Security over 30 days. Universal Security is related to or competes with Brinks, MSA Safety, Resideo Technologies, Mistras, NL Industries, Guardforce, and Iveda Solutions. Universal Security Instruments, Inc., together with its subsidiary, designs, markets, and distributes safety and securit... More
Universal Security Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Universal Security's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Universal Security Instruments upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.24 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1815 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 56.7 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.56) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.32 |
Universal Security Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Universal Security's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Universal Security's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Universal Security historical prices to predict the future Universal Security's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1587 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.28 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 1.17 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3907 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 6.53 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Universal Security's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Universal Security Backtested Returns
Universal Security is dangerous given 3 months investment horizon. Universal Security owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.17, which indicates the firm had a 0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We are able to break down and analyze data for twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.19% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Universal Security Semi Deviation of 2.23, coefficient of variation of 541.45, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1587 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Universal Security holds a performance score of 13 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The entity has a beta of 0.2, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Universal Security's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Universal Security is expected to be smaller as well. Use Universal Security total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to analyze future returns on Universal Security.
Auto-correlation | 0.44 |
Average predictability
Universal Security Instruments has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Universal Security time series from 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024 and 22nd of December 2024 to 6th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Universal Security price movement. The serial correlation of 0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current Universal Security price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.44 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Universal Security lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Universal Security stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Universal Security's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Universal Security returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Universal Security has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Universal Security regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Universal Security stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Universal Security stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Universal Security stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Universal Security Lagged Returns
When evaluating Universal Security's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Universal Security stock have on its future price. Universal Security autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Universal Security autocorrelation shows the relationship between Universal Security stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Universal Security Instruments.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
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Additional Tools for Universal Stock Analysis
When running Universal Security's price analysis, check to measure Universal Security's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Universal Security is operating at the current time. Most of Universal Security's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Universal Security's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Universal Security's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Universal Security to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.