US838518AA63 Market Value

838518AA6   84.06  0.28  0.33%   
838518AA6's market value is the price at which a share of 838518AA6 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of US838518AA63 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of US838518AA63 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 838518AA6 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 838518AA6 Correlation, 838518AA6 Volatility and 838518AA6 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 838518AA6.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 838518AA6's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 838518AA6 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 838518AA6's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

838518AA6 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 838518AA6's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 838518AA6.
0.00
12/08/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
01/07/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 838518AA6 on December 8, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US838518AA63 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 838518AA6 over 30 days. 838518AA6 is related to or competes with Merit Medical, Valneva SE, Weibo Corp, Genfit, Definitive Healthcare, and Solstad Offshore. More

838518AA6 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 838518AA6's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US838518AA63 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

838518AA6 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 838518AA6's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 838518AA6's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 838518AA6 historical prices to predict the future 838518AA6's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
82.2683.7885.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.9783.4985.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
82.5984.1185.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
82.7883.8284.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 838518AA6. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 838518AA6's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 838518AA6's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in US838518AA63.

US838518AA63 Backtested Returns

At this point, 838518AA6 is very steady. US838518AA63 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0792, which signifies that the bond had a 0.0792% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for 838518AA6, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 838518AA6's Coefficient Of Variation of 1412.34, semi deviation of 1.24, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.062 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.1, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 838518AA6 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 838518AA6 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.23  

Weak reverse predictability

US838518AA63 has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 838518AA6 time series from 8th of December 2024 to 23rd of December 2024 and 23rd of December 2024 to 7th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US838518AA63 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current 838518AA6 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.23
Spearman Rank Test-0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.25

US838518AA63 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 838518AA6 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 838518AA6's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 838518AA6 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 838518AA6 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

838518AA6 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 838518AA6 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 838518AA6 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 838518AA6 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

838518AA6 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 838518AA6's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 838518AA6 bond have on its future price. 838518AA6 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 838518AA6 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 838518AA6 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US838518AA63.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 838518AA6 Bond

838518AA6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 838518AA6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 838518AA6 with respect to the benefits of owning 838518AA6 security.