SPGI 37 01 MAR 52 Market Value

78409VBL7   73.29  2.03  2.70%   
78409VBL7's market value is the price at which a share of 78409VBL7 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of SPGI 37 01 MAR 52 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of SPGI 37 01 MAR 52 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 78409VBL7 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 78409VBL7 Correlation, 78409VBL7 Volatility and 78409VBL7 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 78409VBL7.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 78409VBL7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 78409VBL7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 78409VBL7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

78409VBL7 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 78409VBL7's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 78409VBL7.
0.00
11/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 78409VBL7 on November 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SPGI 37 01 MAR 52 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 78409VBL7 over 30 days. 78409VBL7 is related to or competes with Topbuild Corp, MYR, Dream Finders, Chipotle Mexican, Shake Shack, Biglari Holdings, and Everus Construction. More

78409VBL7 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 78409VBL7's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SPGI 37 01 MAR 52 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

78409VBL7 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 78409VBL7's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 78409VBL7's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 78409VBL7 historical prices to predict the future 78409VBL7's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
72.3773.2974.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
69.4470.3680.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
74.6675.5876.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.2976.99129.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 78409VBL7. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 78409VBL7's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 78409VBL7's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SPGI 37 01.

SPGI 37 01 Backtested Returns

SPGI 37 01 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.21, which signifies that the bond had a -0.21% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. SPGI 37 01 MAR 52 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 78409VBL7's Coefficient Of Variation of (786.71), variance of 2.1, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.1) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0687, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 78409VBL7 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 78409VBL7 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.92  

Near perfect reversele predictability

SPGI 37 01 MAR 52 has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 78409VBL7 time series from 24th of November 2024 to 9th of December 2024 and 9th of December 2024 to 24th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SPGI 37 01 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.92 indicates that approximately 92.0% of current 78409VBL7 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.92
Spearman Rank Test-0.93
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.13

SPGI 37 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 78409VBL7 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 78409VBL7's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 78409VBL7 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 78409VBL7 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

78409VBL7 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 78409VBL7 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 78409VBL7 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 78409VBL7 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

78409VBL7 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 78409VBL7's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 78409VBL7 bond have on its future price. 78409VBL7 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 78409VBL7 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 78409VBL7 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in SPGI 37 01 MAR 52.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 78409VBL7 Bond

78409VBL7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 78409VBL7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 78409VBL7 with respect to the benefits of owning 78409VBL7 security.