NRUC 1875 07 FEB 25 Market Value

63743HFC1   94.35  0.00  0.00%   
63743HFC1's market value is the price at which a share of 63743HFC1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NRUC 1875 07 FEB 25 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NRUC 1875 07 FEB 25 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 63743HFC1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 63743HFC1 Correlation, 63743HFC1 Volatility and 63743HFC1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 63743HFC1.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 63743HFC1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 63743HFC1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 63743HFC1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

63743HFC1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 63743HFC1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 63743HFC1.
0.00
09/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 63743HFC1 on September 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NRUC 1875 07 FEB 25 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 63743HFC1 over 60 days. 63743HFC1 is related to or competes with Tyson Foods, Chart Industries, ChampionX, Griffon, MYR, Allient, and ServiceNow. More

63743HFC1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 63743HFC1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NRUC 1875 07 FEB 25 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

63743HFC1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 63743HFC1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 63743HFC1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 63743HFC1 historical prices to predict the future 63743HFC1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.5794.3595.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.4580.23103.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93.7994.5795.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
92.3596.86101.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 63743HFC1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 63743HFC1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 63743HFC1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NRUC 1875 07.

NRUC 1875 07 Backtested Returns

NRUC 1875 07 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the bond had a -0.12% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. NRUC 1875 07 FEB 25 exposes eighteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 63743HFC1's mean deviation of 0.5483, and Standard Deviation of 1.38 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.14, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 63743HFC1's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 63743HFC1 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.12  

Insignificant reverse predictability

NRUC 1875 07 FEB 25 has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 63743HFC1 time series from 29th of September 2024 to 29th of October 2024 and 29th of October 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NRUC 1875 07 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current 63743HFC1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.12
Spearman Rank Test0.41
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.52

NRUC 1875 07 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 63743HFC1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 63743HFC1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 63743HFC1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 63743HFC1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

63743HFC1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 63743HFC1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 63743HFC1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 63743HFC1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

63743HFC1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 63743HFC1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 63743HFC1 bond have on its future price. 63743HFC1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 63743HFC1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 63743HFC1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NRUC 1875 07 FEB 25.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 63743HFC1 Bond

63743HFC1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 63743HFC1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 63743HFC1 with respect to the benefits of owning 63743HFC1 security.