LYB 38 01 OCT 60 Market Value

50249AAK9   69.42  0.67  0.97%   
50249AAK9's market value is the price at which a share of 50249AAK9 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of LYB 38 01 OCT 60 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of LYB 38 01 OCT 60 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 50249AAK9 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 50249AAK9 Correlation, 50249AAK9 Volatility and 50249AAK9 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 50249AAK9.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 50249AAK9's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 50249AAK9 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 50249AAK9's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

50249AAK9 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 50249AAK9's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 50249AAK9.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 50249AAK9 on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding LYB 38 01 OCT 60 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 50249AAK9 over 60 days. 50249AAK9 is related to or competes with Visteon Corp, Cars, PACCAR, Li Auto, Everspin Technologies, Magna International, and Gentex. More

50249AAK9 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 50249AAK9's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess LYB 38 01 OCT 60 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

50249AAK9 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 50249AAK9's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 50249AAK9's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 50249AAK9 historical prices to predict the future 50249AAK9's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
68.0769.4270.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.6559.0076.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 50249AAK9. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 50249AAK9's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 50249AAK9's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LYB 38 01.

LYB 38 01 Backtested Returns

LYB 38 01 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0929, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0929% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 50249AAK9 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 50249AAK9's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3152, mean deviation of 1.09, and Information Ratio of (0.03) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0773, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 50249AAK9 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 50249AAK9 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.25  

Weak reverse predictability

LYB 38 01 OCT 60 has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 50249AAK9 time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 22nd of November 2024 and 22nd of November 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of LYB 38 01 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current 50249AAK9 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.25
Spearman Rank Test-0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.01

LYB 38 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 50249AAK9 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 50249AAK9's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 50249AAK9 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 50249AAK9 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

50249AAK9 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 50249AAK9 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 50249AAK9 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 50249AAK9 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

50249AAK9 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 50249AAK9's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 50249AAK9 bond have on its future price. 50249AAK9 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 50249AAK9 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 50249AAK9 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in LYB 38 01 OCT 60.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 50249AAK9 Bond

50249AAK9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 50249AAK9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 50249AAK9 with respect to the benefits of owning 50249AAK9 security.