LYB 38 01 OCT 60 Market Value
50249AAK9 | 69.42 4.25 6.52% |
Symbol | 50249AAK9 |
Please note, there is a significant difference between 50249AAK9's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 50249AAK9 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 50249AAK9's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
50249AAK9 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 50249AAK9's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 50249AAK9.
06/20/2023 |
| 01/10/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 50249AAK9 on June 20, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding LYB 38 01 OCT 60 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 50249AAK9 over 570 days. 50249AAK9 is related to or competes with Grounded People, Merit Medical, Viemed Healthcare, HUTCHMED DRC, Joint Corp, PVH Corp, and Cardinal Health. More
50249AAK9 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 50249AAK9's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess LYB 38 01 OCT 60 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 6.44 | |||
Value At Risk | (2.73) | |||
Potential Upside | 2.9 |
50249AAK9 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 50249AAK9's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 50249AAK9's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 50249AAK9 historical prices to predict the future 50249AAK9's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
Jensen Alpha | (0.09) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.14) | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.2496 |
LYB 38 01 Backtested Returns
LYB 38 01 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0421, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0421% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 50249AAK9 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 50249AAK9's Mean Deviation of 1.21, information ratio of (0.07), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2596 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.4, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 50249AAK9 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 50249AAK9 is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.06 |
Virtually no predictability
LYB 38 01 OCT 60 has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 50249AAK9 time series from 20th of June 2023 to 31st of March 2024 and 31st of March 2024 to 10th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of LYB 38 01 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current 50249AAK9 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | 0.06 | |
Spearman Rank Test | -0.08 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 7.94 |
LYB 38 01 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 50249AAK9 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 50249AAK9's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 50249AAK9 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 50249AAK9 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
50249AAK9 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 50249AAK9 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 50249AAK9 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 50249AAK9 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
50249AAK9 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 50249AAK9's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 50249AAK9 bond have on its future price. 50249AAK9 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 50249AAK9 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 50249AAK9 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in LYB 38 01 OCT 60.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in 50249AAK9 Bond
50249AAK9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 50249AAK9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 50249AAK9 with respect to the benefits of owning 50249AAK9 security.