KEY 5 26 JAN 33 Market Value

49327M3H5   81.37  16.10  16.52%   
49327M3H5's market value is the price at which a share of 49327M3H5 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of KEY 5 26 JAN 33 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of KEY 5 26 JAN 33 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 49327M3H5 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 49327M3H5 Correlation, 49327M3H5 Volatility and 49327M3H5 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 49327M3H5.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 49327M3H5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 49327M3H5 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 49327M3H5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

49327M3H5 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 49327M3H5's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 49327M3H5.
0.00
06/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/18/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 49327M3H5 on June 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding KEY 5 26 JAN 33 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 49327M3H5 over 180 days. 49327M3H5 is related to or competes with Primo Brands, Coca Cola, Funko, JD Sports, Treasury Wine, PepsiCo, and Diageo PLC. More

49327M3H5 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 49327M3H5's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess KEY 5 26 JAN 33 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

49327M3H5 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 49327M3H5's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 49327M3H5's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 49327M3H5 historical prices to predict the future 49327M3H5's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
79.1181.3783.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.8179.0789.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 49327M3H5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 49327M3H5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 49327M3H5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 49327M3H5.

49327M3H5 Backtested Returns

49327M3H5 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.13, which signifies that the bond had a -0.13% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. KEY 5 26 JAN 33 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 49327M3H5's standard deviation of 1.74, and Mean Deviation of 0.7859 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 49327M3H5's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 49327M3H5 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.41  

Modest reverse predictability

KEY 5 26 JAN 33 has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 49327M3H5 time series from 21st of June 2024 to 19th of September 2024 and 19th of September 2024 to 18th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 49327M3H5 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current 49327M3H5 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.41
Spearman Rank Test-0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.49

49327M3H5 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 49327M3H5 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 49327M3H5's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 49327M3H5 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 49327M3H5 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

49327M3H5 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 49327M3H5 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 49327M3H5 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 49327M3H5 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

49327M3H5 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 49327M3H5's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 49327M3H5 bond have on its future price. 49327M3H5 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 49327M3H5 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 49327M3H5 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in KEY 5 26 JAN 33.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 49327M3H5 Bond

49327M3H5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 49327M3H5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 49327M3H5 with respect to the benefits of owning 49327M3H5 security.