KEY 47 26 JAN 26 Market Value
| 49327M3G7 | 100.10 0.19 0.19% |
| Symbol | 49327M3G7 |
Please note, there is a significant difference between 49327M3G7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 49327M3G7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 49327M3G7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
49327M3G7 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 49327M3G7's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 49327M3G7.
| 10/25/2023 |
| 12/18/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 49327M3G7 on October 25, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding KEY 47 26 JAN 26 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 49327M3G7 over 420 days. 49327M3G7 is related to or competes with ReTo Eco, Highway Holdings, CarsalesCom, Jeld Wen, Everus Construction, Griffon, and Hurco Companies. More
49327M3G7 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 49327M3G7's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess KEY 47 26 JAN 26 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.63 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.32) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.3013 |
49327M3G7 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 49327M3G7's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 49327M3G7's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 49327M3G7 historical prices to predict the future 49327M3G7's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0169 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0141 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.19) |
KEY 47 26 Backtested Returns
KEY 47 26 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0058, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0058% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. KEY 47 26 JAN 26 exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 49327M3G7's mean deviation of 0.3191, and Downside Deviation of 1.11 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0561, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 49327M3G7 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 49327M3G7 is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.80 |
Very good predictability
KEY 47 26 JAN 26 has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 49327M3G7 time series from 25th of October 2023 to 22nd of May 2024 and 22nd of May 2024 to 18th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of KEY 47 26 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.8 indicates that around 80.0% of current 49327M3G7 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.8 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.5 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.76 |
KEY 47 26 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 49327M3G7 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 49327M3G7's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 49327M3G7 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 49327M3G7 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
49327M3G7 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 49327M3G7 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 49327M3G7 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 49327M3G7 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
49327M3G7 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 49327M3G7's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 49327M3G7 bond have on its future price. 49327M3G7 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 49327M3G7 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 49327M3G7 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in KEY 47 26 JAN 26.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 49327M3G7 Bond
49327M3G7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 49327M3G7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 49327M3G7 with respect to the benefits of owning 49327M3G7 security.