GWOCN 415 03 JUN 47 Market Value

391382AB4   79.66  0.00  0.00%   
GWOCN's market value is the price at which a share of GWOCN trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of GWOCN 415 03 JUN 47 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of GWOCN 415 03 JUN 47 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in GWOCN over a given investment horizon.
Check out GWOCN Correlation, GWOCN Volatility and GWOCN Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on GWOCN.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between GWOCN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GWOCN is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GWOCN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

GWOCN 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to GWOCN's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of GWOCN.
0.00
11/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in GWOCN on November 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding GWOCN 415 03 JUN 47 or generate 0.0% return on investment in GWOCN over 30 days. GWOCN is related to or competes with Guangdong Investment, Aegon NV, Hafnia, Comstock Holding, MGIC Investment, PennantPark Investment, and Mesa Air. More

GWOCN Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure GWOCN's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess GWOCN 415 03 JUN 47 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

GWOCN Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for GWOCN's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as GWOCN's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use GWOCN historical prices to predict the future GWOCN's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.4379.6680.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.4066.6387.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.4078.6479.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
79.0883.0386.98
Details

GWOCN 415 03 Backtested Returns

GWOCN 415 03 holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.16, which attests that the entity had a -0.16% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. GWOCN 415 03 exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out GWOCN's risk adjusted performance of 0.0686, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (2.60) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The bond retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0476, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning GWOCN are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, GWOCN is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -1  

Near perfect reversele predictability

GWOCN 415 03 JUN 47 has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between GWOCN time series from 2nd of November 2024 to 17th of November 2024 and 17th of November 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of GWOCN 415 03 price movement. The serial correlation of -1.0 indicates that 100.0% of current GWOCN price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-1.0
Spearman Rank Test-1.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.16

GWOCN 415 03 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is GWOCN bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting GWOCN's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of GWOCN returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that GWOCN has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

GWOCN regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If GWOCN bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if GWOCN bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in GWOCN bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

GWOCN Lagged Returns

When evaluating GWOCN's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of GWOCN bond have on its future price. GWOCN autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, GWOCN autocorrelation shows the relationship between GWOCN bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in GWOCN 415 03 JUN 47.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in GWOCN Bond

GWOCN financial ratios help investors to determine whether GWOCN Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GWOCN with respect to the benefits of owning GWOCN security.