26442UAB0's market value is the price at which a share of 26442UAB0 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 26442UAB0 over a given investment horizon. Check out 26442UAB0 Correlation, 26442UAB0 Volatility and 26442UAB0 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 26442UAB0.
Please note, there is a significant difference between 26442UAB0's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 26442UAB0 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 26442UAB0's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
26442UAB0 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 26442UAB0's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 26442UAB0.
0.00
02/10/2024
No Change 0.00
0.0
In 10 months and 26 days
01/05/2025
0.00
If you would invest 0.00 in 26442UAB0 on February 10, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS or generate 0.0% return on investment in 26442UAB0 over 330 days. 26442UAB0 is related to or competes with Garmin, IPG Photonics, Sea, Genuine Parts, Grocery Outlet, Simon Property, and Jabil Circuit. More
26442UAB0 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 26442UAB0's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 26442UAB0's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 26442UAB0's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 26442UAB0 historical prices to predict the future 26442UAB0's volatility.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 26442UAB0. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 26442UAB0's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 26442UAB0's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS.
DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS Backtested Returns
At this point, 26442UAB0 is very steady. DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0444, which signifies that the bond had a 0.0444% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-five technical indicators for DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 26442UAB0's Downside Deviation of 0.7249, standard deviation of 1.57, and Mean Deviation of 0.7536 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0696%. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0762, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 26442UAB0's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 26442UAB0 is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation
-0.44
Modest reverse predictability
DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 26442UAB0 time series from 10th of February 2024 to 24th of July 2024 and 24th of July 2024 to 5th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS price movement. The serial correlation of -0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current 26442UAB0 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
-0.44
Spearman Rank Test
-0.03
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
4.58
DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 26442UAB0 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 26442UAB0's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 26442UAB0 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 26442UAB0 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
26442UAB0 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 26442UAB0 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 26442UAB0 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 26442UAB0 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
26442UAB0 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 26442UAB0's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 26442UAB0 bond have on its future price. 26442UAB0 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 26442UAB0 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 26442UAB0 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS.
Regressed Prices
Timeline
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
26442UAB0 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 26442UAB0 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 26442UAB0 with respect to the benefits of owning 26442UAB0 security.