AN 24 01 AUG 31 Market Value

05329WAS1   84.30  1.44  1.74%   
05329WAS1's market value is the price at which a share of 05329WAS1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AN 24 01 AUG 31 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AN 24 01 AUG 31 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 05329WAS1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 05329WAS1 Correlation, 05329WAS1 Volatility and 05329WAS1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 05329WAS1.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 05329WAS1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 05329WAS1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 05329WAS1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

05329WAS1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 05329WAS1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 05329WAS1.
0.00
01/02/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 05329WAS1 on January 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AN 24 01 AUG 31 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 05329WAS1 over 720 days. 05329WAS1 is related to or competes with BRP, Hasbro, Playa Hotels, Planet Fitness, Playtech Plc, Life Time, and Air Products. More

05329WAS1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 05329WAS1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AN 24 01 AUG 31 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

05329WAS1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 05329WAS1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 05329WAS1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 05329WAS1 historical prices to predict the future 05329WAS1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
83.4484.3085.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.0175.8792.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
83.3184.1885.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
73.5480.5387.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 05329WAS1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 05329WAS1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 05329WAS1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 05329WAS1.

05329WAS1 Backtested Returns

05329WAS1 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0181, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0181% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 05329WAS1 exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 05329WAS1's Coefficient Of Variation of 43097.24, market risk adjusted performance of 0.0025, and Standard Deviation of 2.09 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.69, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, 05329WAS1's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 05329WAS1 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.34  

Poor reverse predictability

AN 24 01 AUG 31 has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 05329WAS1 time series from 2nd of January 2023 to 28th of December 2023 and 28th of December 2023 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 05329WAS1 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current 05329WAS1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.34
Spearman Rank Test0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.62

05329WAS1 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 05329WAS1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 05329WAS1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 05329WAS1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 05329WAS1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

05329WAS1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 05329WAS1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 05329WAS1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 05329WAS1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

05329WAS1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 05329WAS1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 05329WAS1 bond have on its future price. 05329WAS1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 05329WAS1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 05329WAS1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AN 24 01 AUG 31.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 05329WAS1 Bond

05329WAS1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 05329WAS1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 05329WAS1 with respect to the benefits of owning 05329WAS1 security.