ATH 345 15 MAY 52 Market Value

04686JAE1   66.16  1.97  3.07%   
04686JAE1's market value is the price at which a share of 04686JAE1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ATH 345 15 MAY 52 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ATH 345 15 MAY 52 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 04686JAE1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 04686JAE1 Correlation, 04686JAE1 Volatility and 04686JAE1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 04686JAE1.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 04686JAE1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 04686JAE1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 04686JAE1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

04686JAE1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 04686JAE1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 04686JAE1.
0.00
12/06/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/05/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 04686JAE1 on December 6, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ATH 345 15 MAY 52 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 04686JAE1 over 30 days. 04686JAE1 is related to or competes with Compania Cervecerias, CanSino Biologics, Cheche Group, NETGEAR, Primo Brands, and Willamette Valley. More

04686JAE1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 04686JAE1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ATH 345 15 MAY 52 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

04686JAE1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 04686JAE1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 04686JAE1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 04686JAE1 historical prices to predict the future 04686JAE1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.6766.1667.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.8366.3267.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
67.0068.4969.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
63.0965.9168.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 04686JAE1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 04686JAE1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 04686JAE1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ATH 345 15.

ATH 345 15 Backtested Returns

ATH 345 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0184, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0184% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. ATH 345 15 MAY 52 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 04686JAE1's Mean Deviation of 1.11, risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Variance of 2.21 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.34, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, 04686JAE1's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 04686JAE1 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.57  

Good reverse predictability

ATH 345 15 MAY 52 has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 04686JAE1 time series from 6th of December 2024 to 21st of December 2024 and 21st of December 2024 to 5th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ATH 345 15 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current 04686JAE1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.57
Spearman Rank Test-0.5
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.0

ATH 345 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 04686JAE1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 04686JAE1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 04686JAE1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 04686JAE1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

04686JAE1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 04686JAE1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 04686JAE1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 04686JAE1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

04686JAE1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 04686JAE1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 04686JAE1 bond have on its future price. 04686JAE1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 04686JAE1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 04686JAE1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ATH 345 15 MAY 52.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 04686JAE1 Bond

04686JAE1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 04686JAE1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 04686JAE1 with respect to the benefits of owning 04686JAE1 security.