AALLN 225 17 MAR 28 Market Value

034863AZ3   91.45  0.72  0.78%   
AALLN's market value is the price at which a share of AALLN trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AALLN 225 17 MAR 28 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AALLN 225 17 MAR 28 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AALLN over a given investment horizon.
Check out AALLN Correlation, AALLN Volatility and AALLN Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AALLN.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between AALLN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AALLN is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AALLN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AALLN 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AALLN's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AALLN.
0.00
11/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AALLN on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AALLN 225 17 MAR 28 or generate 0.0% return on investment in AALLN over 30 days. AALLN is related to or competes with Socket Mobile, BCE, Ituran Location, Reservoir Media, Small Cap, Equinix, and Kandi Technologies. More

AALLN Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AALLN's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AALLN 225 17 MAR 28 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AALLN Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AALLN's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AALLN's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AALLN historical prices to predict the future AALLN's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
91.1291.4591.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
83.6884.01100.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
91.7492.0792.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
91.4691.7091.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AALLN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AALLN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AALLN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AALLN 225 17.

AALLN 225 17 Backtested Returns

AALLN 225 17 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.11, which signifies that the bond had a -0.11% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. AALLN 225 17 MAR 28 exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm AALLN's Coefficient Of Variation of 764.3, mean deviation of 0.2027, and Downside Deviation of 0.2831 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The entity shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0104, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning AALLN are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, AALLN is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.40  

Average predictability

AALLN 225 17 MAR 28 has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AALLN time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AALLN 225 17 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current AALLN price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.4
Spearman Rank Test-0.5
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.12

AALLN 225 17 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AALLN bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AALLN's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AALLN returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AALLN has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

AALLN regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AALLN bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AALLN bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AALLN bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

AALLN Lagged Returns

When evaluating AALLN's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AALLN bond have on its future price. AALLN autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AALLN autocorrelation shows the relationship between AALLN bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AALLN 225 17 MAR 28.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in AALLN Bond

AALLN financial ratios help investors to determine whether AALLN Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AALLN with respect to the benefits of owning AALLN security.