BABA 315 09 FEB 51 Market Value

01609WAZ5   68.71  2.12  3.18%   
01609WAZ5's market value is the price at which a share of 01609WAZ5 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BABA 315 09 FEB 51 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BABA 315 09 FEB 51 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 01609WAZ5 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 01609WAZ5 Correlation, 01609WAZ5 Volatility and 01609WAZ5 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 01609WAZ5.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 01609WAZ5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 01609WAZ5 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 01609WAZ5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

01609WAZ5 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 01609WAZ5's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 01609WAZ5.
0.00
12/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/17/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 01609WAZ5 on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BABA 315 09 FEB 51 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 01609WAZ5 over 90 days. 01609WAZ5 is related to or competes with Analog Devices, Electronic Arts, Globalfoundries, and Qorvo. More

01609WAZ5 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 01609WAZ5's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BABA 315 09 FEB 51 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

01609WAZ5 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 01609WAZ5's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 01609WAZ5's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 01609WAZ5 historical prices to predict the future 01609WAZ5's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.7068.7169.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.7967.8068.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
67.2868.2969.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
64.5267.6170.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 01609WAZ5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 01609WAZ5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 01609WAZ5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BABA 315 09.

BABA 315 09 Backtested Returns

At this point, 01609WAZ5 is very steady. BABA 315 09 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which signifies that the bond had a 0.12 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for 01609WAZ5, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 01609WAZ5's Standard Deviation of 1.65, market risk adjusted performance of 0.0712, and Coefficient Of Variation of 9107.47 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.13, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 01609WAZ5's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 01609WAZ5 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.49  

Modest reverse predictability

BABA 315 09 FEB 51 has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 01609WAZ5 time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BABA 315 09 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.49 indicates that about 49.0% of current 01609WAZ5 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.49
Spearman Rank Test-0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.25

BABA 315 09 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 01609WAZ5 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 01609WAZ5's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 01609WAZ5 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 01609WAZ5 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

01609WAZ5 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 01609WAZ5 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 01609WAZ5 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 01609WAZ5 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

01609WAZ5 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 01609WAZ5's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 01609WAZ5 bond have on its future price. 01609WAZ5 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 01609WAZ5 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 01609WAZ5 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BABA 315 09 FEB 51.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 01609WAZ5 Bond

01609WAZ5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 01609WAZ5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 01609WAZ5 with respect to the benefits of owning 01609WAZ5 security.