Union Petrochemical (Thailand) Market Value
| UKEM Stock | THB 0.56 0.03 5.66% |
| Symbol | Union |
Union Petrochemical 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Union Petrochemical's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Union Petrochemical.
| 12/17/2024 |
| 03/17/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Union Petrochemical on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Union Petrochemical Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in Union Petrochemical over 90 days. Union Petrochemical is related to or competes with Vibhavadi Medical, WHA Public, Tata Steel, and TPI Polene. Union Petrochemical Public Company Limited imports and distributes chemical products in Thailand More
Union Petrochemical Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Union Petrochemical's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Union Petrochemical Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 6.77 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0388 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 51.62 | |||
| Value At Risk | (9.09) | |||
| Potential Upside | 25.0 |
Union Petrochemical Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Union Petrochemical's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Union Petrochemical's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Union Petrochemical historical prices to predict the future Union Petrochemical's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0332 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2027 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 1.36 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0515 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.71) |
Union Petrochemical Backtested Returns
Union Petrochemical appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Union Petrochemical owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0278, which indicates the firm had a 0.0278 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Union Petrochemical Public, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Union Petrochemical's Semi Deviation of 5.22, coefficient of variation of 3600.06, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0332 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Union Petrochemical holds a performance score of 2. The entity has a beta of -0.34, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Union Petrochemical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Union Petrochemical is likely to outperform the market. Please check Union Petrochemical's standard deviation, total risk alpha, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Union Petrochemical's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.59 |
Modest predictability
Union Petrochemical Public has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Union Petrochemical time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Union Petrochemical price movement. The serial correlation of 0.59 indicates that roughly 59.0% of current Union Petrochemical price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.59 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.07 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Union Petrochemical lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Union Petrochemical stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Union Petrochemical's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Union Petrochemical returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Union Petrochemical has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Union Petrochemical regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Union Petrochemical stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Union Petrochemical stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Union Petrochemical stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Union Petrochemical Lagged Returns
When evaluating Union Petrochemical's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Union Petrochemical stock have on its future price. Union Petrochemical autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Union Petrochemical autocorrelation shows the relationship between Union Petrochemical stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Union Petrochemical Public.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Union Petrochemical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Union Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Union with respect to the benefits of owning Union Petrochemical security.