Capital Growth Fund Market Value

UICGX Fund  USD 12.74  0.09  0.71%   
Capital Growth's market value is the price at which a share of Capital Growth trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Capital Growth Fund investors about its performance. Capital Growth is trading at 12.74 as of the 22nd of December 2024; that is 0.71 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.65.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Capital Growth Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Capital Growth over a given investment horizon. Check out Capital Growth Correlation, Capital Growth Volatility and Capital Growth Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Capital Growth.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capital Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Capital Growth 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Capital Growth's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Capital Growth.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Capital Growth on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Capital Growth Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Capital Growth over 30 days. Capital Growth is related to or competes with Emerging Markets, High Income, International Fund, Growth Income, Government Securities, and Growth Fund. The fund invests primarily in U.S. and foreign equity securities that are believed to be the most attractive in the glob... More

Capital Growth Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Capital Growth's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Capital Growth Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Capital Growth Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Capital Growth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Capital Growth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Capital Growth historical prices to predict the future Capital Growth's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.3112.7414.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5713.0014.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1311.5612.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.6714.3416.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Capital Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Capital Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Capital Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Capital Growth.

Capital Growth Backtested Returns

Capital Growth secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the fund had a -0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Capital Growth Fund exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Capital Growth's Mean Deviation of 0.6825, standard deviation of 1.41, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.10) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.82, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Capital Growth's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Capital Growth is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.87  

Excellent reverse predictability

Capital Growth Fund has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Capital Growth time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Capital Growth price movement. The serial correlation of -0.87 indicates that approximately 87.0% of current Capital Growth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.87
Spearman Rank Test-0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.92

Capital Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Capital Growth mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Capital Growth's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Capital Growth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Capital Growth has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Capital Growth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Capital Growth mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Capital Growth mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Capital Growth mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Capital Growth Lagged Returns

When evaluating Capital Growth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Capital Growth mutual fund have on its future price. Capital Growth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Capital Growth autocorrelation shows the relationship between Capital Growth mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Capital Growth Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Capital Mutual Fund

Capital Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Capital Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Capital with respect to the benefits of owning Capital Growth security.
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