United Airlines (Germany) Market Value
| UAL1 Stock | EUR 66.63 0.30 0.45% |
| Symbol | United |
United Airlines 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to United Airlines' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of United Airlines.
| 12/15/2024 |
| 03/15/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in United Airlines on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding United Airlines Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in United Airlines over 90 days. United Airlines is related to or competes with AXWAY SOFTWARE, MONEYSUPERMARKET, Sqs Software, ATOSS SOFTWARE, COFCO Joycome, ASURE SOFTWARE, and Check Point. United Continental Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services in North America... More
United Airlines Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure United Airlines' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess United Airlines Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.14 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.55) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.06 |
United Airlines Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for United Airlines' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as United Airlines' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use United Airlines historical prices to predict the future United Airlines' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.53) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.1) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (6.45) |
United Airlines Holdings Backtested Returns
United Airlines Holdings owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.13, which indicates the firm had a -0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. United Airlines Holdings exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate United Airlines' Coefficient Of Variation of (669.93), risk adjusted performance of (0.12), and Variance of 12.76 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.0842, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, United Airlines' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding United Airlines is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, United Airlines Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.47%. Please make sure to validate United Airlines' total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and value at risk , to decide if United Airlines Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.61 |
Very good reverse predictability
United Airlines Holdings has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between United Airlines time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of United Airlines Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of -0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current United Airlines price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.61 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.81 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 56.46 |
United Airlines Holdings lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is United Airlines stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting United Airlines' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of United Airlines returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that United Airlines has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
United Airlines regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If United Airlines stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if United Airlines stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in United Airlines stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
United Airlines Lagged Returns
When evaluating United Airlines' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of United Airlines stock have on its future price. United Airlines autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, United Airlines autocorrelation shows the relationship between United Airlines stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in United Airlines Holdings.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in United Stock
When determining whether United Airlines Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze United Airlines' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact United Airlines' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding United Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out United Airlines Correlation, United Airlines Volatility and United Airlines Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on United Airlines. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
United Airlines technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.