United Airlines (Germany) Market Value

UAL1 Stock  EUR 66.63  0.30  0.45%   
United Airlines' market value is the price at which a share of United Airlines trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of United Airlines Holdings investors about its performance. United Airlines is trading at 66.63 as of the 16th of March 2025. This is a 0.45 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 66.61.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of United Airlines Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in United Airlines over a given investment horizon. Check out United Airlines Correlation, United Airlines Volatility and United Airlines Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on United Airlines.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between United Airlines' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Airlines is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Airlines' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

United Airlines 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to United Airlines' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of United Airlines.
0.00
12/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in United Airlines on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding United Airlines Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in United Airlines over 90 days. United Airlines is related to or competes with AXWAY SOFTWARE, MONEYSUPERMARKET, Sqs Software, ATOSS SOFTWARE, COFCO Joycome, ASURE SOFTWARE, and Check Point. United Continental Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services in North America... More

United Airlines Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure United Airlines' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess United Airlines Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

United Airlines Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for United Airlines' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as United Airlines' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use United Airlines historical prices to predict the future United Airlines' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62.8666.6370.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.6364.4068.17
Details

United Airlines Holdings Backtested Returns

United Airlines Holdings owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.13, which indicates the firm had a -0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. United Airlines Holdings exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate United Airlines' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12), variance of 12.76, and Coefficient Of Variation of (669.93) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.0842, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, United Airlines' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding United Airlines is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, United Airlines Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.46%. Please make sure to validate United Airlines' total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and value at risk , to decide if United Airlines Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.56  

Good reverse predictability

United Airlines Holdings has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between United Airlines time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of United Airlines Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of -0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current United Airlines price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.56
Spearman Rank Test-0.86
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance104.25

United Airlines Holdings lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is United Airlines stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting United Airlines' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of United Airlines returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that United Airlines has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

United Airlines regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If United Airlines stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if United Airlines stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in United Airlines stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

United Airlines Lagged Returns

When evaluating United Airlines' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of United Airlines stock have on its future price. United Airlines autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, United Airlines autocorrelation shows the relationship between United Airlines stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in United Airlines Holdings.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in United Stock

When determining whether United Airlines Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze United Airlines' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact United Airlines' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding United Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out United Airlines Correlation, United Airlines Volatility and United Airlines Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on United Airlines.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
United Airlines technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of United Airlines technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of United Airlines trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...