Transamerica Small Cap Fund Market Value

TSLCX Fund  USD 6.14  0.03  0.49%   
Transamerica Small's market value is the price at which a share of Transamerica Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Transamerica Small Cap investors about its performance. Transamerica Small is trading at 6.14 as of the 15th of December 2024; that is 0.49 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 6.11.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Transamerica Small Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Transamerica Small over a given investment horizon. Check out Transamerica Small Correlation, Transamerica Small Volatility and Transamerica Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Transamerica Small.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Transamerica Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Transamerica Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Transamerica Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Transamerica Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Transamerica Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Transamerica Small.
0.00
11/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Transamerica Small on November 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Transamerica Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Transamerica Small over 30 days. Transamerica Small is related to or competes with Transamerica Emerging, Transamerica Emerging, Transamerica Emerging, Transamerica Capital, Transamerica Growth, Transamerica Large, and Transamerica Large. The funds sub-adviser, Systematic Financial Management, L.P More

Transamerica Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Transamerica Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Transamerica Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Transamerica Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Transamerica Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Transamerica Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Transamerica Small historical prices to predict the future Transamerica Small's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Transamerica Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.016.147.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.996.127.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.906.037.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.946.186.41
Details

Transamerica Small Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Transamerica Mutual Fund to be not too volatile. Transamerica Small Cap owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0995, which indicates the fund had a 0.0995% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Transamerica Small Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Transamerica Small's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1102, semi deviation of 0.6095, and Coefficient Of Variation of 681.07 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. The entity has a beta of 0.21, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Transamerica Small's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Transamerica Small is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.92  

Near perfect reversele predictability

Transamerica Small Cap has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Transamerica Small time series from 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024 and 30th of November 2024 to 15th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Transamerica Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of -0.92 indicates that approximately 92.0% of current Transamerica Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.92
Spearman Rank Test-0.92
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Transamerica Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Transamerica Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Transamerica Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Transamerica Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Transamerica Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Transamerica Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Transamerica Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Transamerica Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Transamerica Small mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Transamerica Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating Transamerica Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Transamerica Small mutual fund have on its future price. Transamerica Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Transamerica Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Transamerica Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Transamerica Small Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Transamerica Mutual Fund

Transamerica Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Transamerica Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Transamerica with respect to the benefits of owning Transamerica Small security.
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