Trx Real (Brazil) Market Value

TRXB11 Fund  BRL 136.21  3.22  2.42%   
Trx Real's market value is the price at which a share of Trx Real trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Trx Real Estate investors about its performance. Trx Real is trading at 136.21 as of the 16th of December 2024, a 2.42 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 132.99.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Trx Real Estate and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Trx Real over a given investment horizon. Check out Trx Real Correlation, Trx Real Volatility and Trx Real Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Trx Real.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Trx Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trx Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trx Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Trx Real 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Trx Real's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Trx Real.
0.00
11/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/16/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Trx Real on November 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Trx Real Estate or generate 0.0% return on investment in Trx Real over 30 days. Trx Real is related to or competes with BTG Pactual, Plano Plano, Companhia Habitasul, Telefonaktiebolaget, Cable One, British American, and Suzano SA. More

Trx Real Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Trx Real's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Trx Real Estate upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Trx Real Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Trx Real's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Trx Real's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Trx Real historical prices to predict the future Trx Real's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
132.12136.21140.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
121.49125.58149.83
Details

Trx Real Estate Backtested Returns

Trx Real Estate owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0028, which indicates the fund had a -0.0028% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Trx Real Estate exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Trx Real's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0041, variance of 16.63, and Coefficient Of Variation of (17,674) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.67, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Trx Real's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Trx Real is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.58  

Modest predictability

Trx Real Estate has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Trx Real time series from 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024 and 1st of December 2024 to 16th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Trx Real Estate price movement. The serial correlation of 0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current Trx Real price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.58
Spearman Rank Test0.01
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance23.87

Trx Real Estate lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Trx Real fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Trx Real's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Trx Real returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Trx Real has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Trx Real regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Trx Real fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Trx Real fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Trx Real fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Trx Real Lagged Returns

When evaluating Trx Real's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Trx Real fund have on its future price. Trx Real autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Trx Real autocorrelation shows the relationship between Trx Real fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Trx Real Estate.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Trx Fund

Trx Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Trx Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Trx with respect to the benefits of owning Trx Real security.
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