Topicus Stock Market Value

TOI Stock  CAD 120.72  0.13  0.11%   
Topicus' market value is the price at which a share of Topicus trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Topicus investors about its performance. Topicus is selling for under 120.72 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 0.11 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 119.61.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Topicus and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Topicus over a given investment horizon. Check out Topicus Correlation, Topicus Volatility and Topicus Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Topicus.
Symbol

Topicus Price To Book Ratio

Please note, there is a significant difference between Topicus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Topicus is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Topicus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Topicus 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Topicus' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Topicus.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Topicus on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Topicus or generate 0.0% return on investment in Topicus over 720 days. Topicus is related to or competes with Enghouse Systems, Pulse Seismic, Harvest Global, Global X, European Residential, Financial, and BMO Mid. Topicus.com Inc. provides vertical market software and vertical market platforms in Europe More

Topicus Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Topicus' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Topicus upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Topicus Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Topicus' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Topicus' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Topicus historical prices to predict the future Topicus' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
119.12120.47121.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
109.35110.70132.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
121.78123.13124.48
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.360.360.36
Details

Topicus Backtested Returns

Topicus owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0968, which indicates the firm had a -0.0968% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Topicus exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Topicus' Variance of 1.85, coefficient of variation of (1,947), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.0606, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Topicus are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Topicus is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Topicus has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to validate Topicus' kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to decide if Topicus performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.66  

Good predictability

Topicus has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Topicus time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Topicus price movement. The serial correlation of 0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current Topicus price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.66
Spearman Rank Test0.54
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance120.02

Topicus lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Topicus stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Topicus' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Topicus returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Topicus has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Topicus regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Topicus stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Topicus stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Topicus stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Topicus Lagged Returns

When evaluating Topicus' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Topicus stock have on its future price. Topicus autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Topicus autocorrelation shows the relationship between Topicus stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Topicus.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Topicus Stock Analysis

When running Topicus' price analysis, check to measure Topicus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Topicus is operating at the current time. Most of Topicus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Topicus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Topicus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Topicus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.