Turkcell Iletisim (Turkey) Market Value
| TCELL Stock | TRY 92.80 1.05 1.12% |
| Symbol | Turkcell |
Turkcell Iletisim 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Turkcell Iletisim's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Turkcell Iletisim.
| 12/18/2023 |
| 12/12/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Turkcell Iletisim on December 18, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri or generate 0.0% return on investment in Turkcell Iletisim over 360 days. Turkcell Iletisim is related to or competes with Turk Telekomunikasyon, Aselsan Elektronik, Koc Holding, Turkiye Petrol, and Eregli Demir. Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. provides digital services in Turkey, Ukraine, Belarus, Azerbaijan, Cyprus, Germany, an... More
Turkcell Iletisim Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Turkcell Iletisim's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.19 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.28) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.7 |
Turkcell Iletisim Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Turkcell Iletisim's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Turkcell Iletisim's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Turkcell Iletisim historical prices to predict the future Turkcell Iletisim's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0056 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.1) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.34) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.02) |
Turkcell Iletisim Backtested Returns
Turkcell Iletisim is very steady at the moment. Turkcell Iletisim owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.019, which indicates the firm had a 0.019% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Turkcell Iletisim's Coefficient Of Variation of (80,918), risk adjusted performance of 0.0056, and Variance of 4.15 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0387%. Turkcell Iletisim has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.76, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Turkcell Iletisim's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Turkcell Iletisim is expected to be smaller as well. Turkcell Iletisim right now has a risk of 2.04%. Please validate Turkcell Iletisim maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and price action indicator , to decide if Turkcell Iletisim will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.45 |
Modest reverse predictability
Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Turkcell Iletisim time series from 18th of December 2023 to 15th of June 2024 and 15th of June 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Turkcell Iletisim price movement. The serial correlation of -0.45 indicates that just about 45.0% of current Turkcell Iletisim price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.45 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.68 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 56.63 |
Turkcell Iletisim lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Turkcell Iletisim stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Turkcell Iletisim's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Turkcell Iletisim returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Turkcell Iletisim has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
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Turkcell Iletisim regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Turkcell Iletisim stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Turkcell Iletisim stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Turkcell Iletisim stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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Turkcell Iletisim Lagged Returns
When evaluating Turkcell Iletisim's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Turkcell Iletisim stock have on its future price. Turkcell Iletisim autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Turkcell Iletisim autocorrelation shows the relationship between Turkcell Iletisim stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri.
Regressed Prices |
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Thematic Opportunities
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Turkcell Stock
When determining whether Turkcell Iletisim offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Turkcell Iletisim's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri Stock:Check out Turkcell Iletisim Correlation, Turkcell Iletisim Volatility and Turkcell Iletisim Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Turkcell Iletisim. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Turkcell Iletisim technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.